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Current Win Probability
Kashiwa Reysol 48.1%
Draw 27.9%
Machida Zelvia 23.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.5%
27.3%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52%
29.9%
23%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
7.1%
21.4%
Kashiwa Reysol - Machida Zelvia Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 47.7% – 95.1%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kashiwa Reysol will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Kojima R. (G) 42. Harada W. 4. Koga T. (C) 26. Sugioka D. 24. Kubo T. 28. Toshima S. 39. Nakagawa N. 32. Yamanouchi Y. 8. Koizumi Y. 20. Segawa Y. 18. Kakita Y.
1. Tani K. (G) 3. Shoji G. (C) 50. Okamura D. 19. Nakayama Y. 88. Nakamura H. 23. Shirasaki R. 31. Lavi N. 26. Hayashi K. 20. Nishimura T. 10. Na Sang-Ho 99. Yengi T.
Substitutes
88. Baba S. 40. Harakawa R. 9. Hosoya M. 15. Komi Y. 2. Mitsumaru H. 29. Nagai K. (G) 19. Nakama H. 87. Yamauchi H. 16. Yuruki K.
5. Dresevic I. 27. Erik 9. Fujio S. 16. Mae H. 11. Masuyama A. 6. Mochizuki H. 13. Morita T. (G) 8. Sento K. 34. Tokumura F.
Coaches
Rodriguez R.
Kuroda G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Harada W. ↓, Baba S. ↑,
29', 0 - 1, Yengi T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sugioka D. ↓, Mitsumaru H. ↑,
46', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
60', Yamanouchi Y. ↓, Yuruki K. ↑,
68', Yengi T. ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
68', Nishimura T. ↓, Erik ↑,
73', Baba S. 🟨,
78', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Sento K. ↑,
78', Lavi N. ↓, Mae H. ↑,
78', Toshima S. ↓, Nakama H. ↑,
83', Hayashi K. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 2.
Kashiwa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Machida Zelvia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Kashiwa has had a series of away games.
Kashiwa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Kashiwa: Kumasaka K.
(Knee Injury)
Tezuka K.
(Knee Injury)
Watai M.
(Knee Injury)
Yamada Y.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R.
(Knee Injury)
Vasquez B.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Lavi N.
(Injury)
Soma Y.
(Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Kashiwa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
China
Japan
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Kojima R. (G) 
Lavi N. 
Na Sang-Ho 
Yengi T. 
Dresevic I. 
Erik 
Rodriguez R. 
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