Match Info

J1 League - Round 8

Date: 2 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Saitama Stadium (Saitama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	K-Ball, QQ Sports
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto


	Urawa Red Diamonds		Shimizu S-Pulse

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.9	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.6
	2.05	3.07	3.7	Watch
	2.05	3.22	3.97	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.6
	2.06	3.21	3.91	Watch
	2.07	3.1	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.07)	3.16 ↓ (3.29)	3.78 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Urawa Red Diamonds
45.6%

Draw
29.6%

Shimizu S-Pulse
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

28.6%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

29.3%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	46.7%	6.7%

Urawa Red Diamonds - Shimizu S Pulse Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Shimizu will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Urawa: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nishikawa S. (G) 4. Ishihara H. 3. Danilo Boza 5. Hoibraaten M. 26. Ogiwara T. 13. Watanabe R. 25. Yasui K. 8. Matheus Savio 6. Matsumoto T. 24. Matsuo Y. 12. Thiago	1. Oki Y. (G) 70. Takagi S. 3. Takahashi Y. 66. Sumiyoshi J. 5. Kitazume K. 36. Uno Z. 98. Matheus Bueno 28. Yoshida Y. 11. Nakahara H. 55. Nishihara M. 29. Ahmedov A.
Substitutes
11. Gustafson S. 9. Haraguchi G. 39. Hayakawa J. 35. Inoue R. 20. Nagakura M. 88. Naganuma Y. 16. Niekawa A. (G) 21. Okubo T. 14. Sekine T.	7. Capixaba 41. Haneda K. 33. Inui T. 23. Kitagawa K. 49. Kotake S. 19. Matsuzaki K. 16. Umeda T. (G) 21. Yajima S. 17. Yumiba M.
Coaches
Skorza M.	Akiba T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Watanabe R. ⚽, Matheus Savio (A),
42', Ahmedov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Nakahara H. ↓, Matsuzaki K. ↑,
46', Nishihara M. ↓, Inui T. ↑,
46', Ahmedov A. ↓, Kitagawa K. ↑,
59', 2 - 0, Matheus Savio ⚽,
60', Yoshida Y. ↓, Capixaba ↑,
72', Matheus Savio ↓, Sekine T. ↑,
72', Matsuo Y. ↓, Gustafson S. ↑,
73', Uno Z. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
77', Watanabe R. ↓, Haraguchi G. ↑,
77', Matsumoto T. ↓, Okubo T. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Nishikawa S. (Own goal),
90+2', Gustafson S. 🟨,
90+6', Ogiwara T. ↓, Naganuma Y. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Urawa won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Shimizu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Urawa will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Shimizu: Saito S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Shimizu: Yamahara R. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Urawa won 11 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 36:20 (average 1.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Urawa won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.2:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Urawa Red Diamonds
Japan J1 League
28.03.25	Cerezo Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Kashima Antlers - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Fagiano Okayama	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashiwa Reysol	0:2 ✺
26.02.25	Shonan Bellmare - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTWLL
- Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J1 League
29.03.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Shonan Bellmare	3:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Sagamihara - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:3 ✺
Japan J1 League
16.03.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Kyoto Sanga	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Gamba Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Fagiano Okayama - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J League Cup
18.06.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:1
26.03.23	Urawa Red Diamonds - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:1
Japan J1 League
16.07.22	Shimizu S-Pulse - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:2
06.04.22	Urawa Red Diamonds - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:1
27.11.21	Urawa Red Diamonds - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:1
07.04.21	Shimizu S-Pulse - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:2
23.09.20	Shimizu S-Pulse - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:2

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