Match Info

Date: 30 July 2022, Saturday


	Uruguay Montevideo		Racing Montevideo

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.95	2.1
	3.4	3.05	2.05
	3.3	2.95	2.14
	3.42	2.9	2.3
	3.14	3.14	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↓ (3.47)	3 ↓ (3.13)	2.16 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uruguay Montevideo
27.5%

Draw
30.4%

Racing Montevideo
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

29.7%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

29.5%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uruguay Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Uruguay Montevideo - Racing Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura)).

Recent matches Uruguay Montevideo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Racing in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Racing will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Uruguay Montevideo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Uruguay Montevideo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
24.07.22	Cerro - Uruguay Montevideo	3:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
20.07.22	Basáñez - Uruguay Montevideo	0:4 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
25.06.22	Uruguay Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	3:1 ✺
22.06.22	Atenas de San Carlos - Uruguay Montevideo	0:1 ✺
19.06.22	Uruguay Montevideo - Villa Española	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWWL
- Racing Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
24.07.22	Racing Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
20.07.22	Canadian Soccer Club - Racing Montevideo	0:1 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.06.22	Racing Montevideo - Villa Española	3:2 ✺
22.06.22	Miramar Misiones - Racing Montevideo	1:1 ✺
19.06.22	Racing Montevideo - Central Español	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
07.05.22	Racing Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo	2:1
03.04.22	Uruguay Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	1:3
15.09.21	Uruguay Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	1:2
01.06.21	Racing Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0

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