Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Utebo		Numancia

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.85	2.6
	2.55	3	2.8
	2.94	2.65	2.72
	2.7	2.75	2.6
	2.82	2.74	2.74
	2.6	2.85	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.16)	2.81 ↓ (2.93)	2.7 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utebo
33.8%

Draw
32.5%

Numancia
33.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.8%

30.9%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

30%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utebo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Utebo's form might have worsened.

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Numancia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Utebo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Numancia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Utebo - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Gonzalez C. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Perez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 2, Sanchidrian R. ⚽,
85', Grande A. 🟥,
89', 2 - 2, Ballarin D. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Utebo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Utebo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
04.05.24	Utebo - UD Logroñés	0:3 ✺
28.04.24	San Juan - Utebo	0:1 ✺
21.04.24	Brea - Utebo	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	Utebo - Mutilvera	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Gernika - Utebo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWL
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.05.24	Cacereño - Numancia	5:0 ✺
28.04.24	Numancia - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Ursaria - Numancia	0:1 ✺
14.04.24	Numancia - UD San Fernando	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	CD Guadalajara - Numancia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Utebo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
31.10.26	Náxara - Utebo	✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.26	Utebo - Sabadell	✺
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.11.26	Atlético Tordesillas - Numancia	✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.26	Numancia - Real Oviedo	✺

Utebo - Numancia