Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EREDIVISIE - ROUND 34

Date: 28 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadion Galgenwaard (Utrecht)

Referee: Martens R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	Utrecht		Emmen

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.47	4.8	5.75
	1.45	4.9	6.25
	1.45	4.75	6
	1.49	5.06	6.18
	1.44	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.47	4.85	6	Watch
	1.47	5	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.69)	4.79 ↑ (4.1)	6.05 ↑ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utrecht
64.7%

Draw
19.7%

Emmen
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

22.7%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

22.5%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Utrecht's performance.

Emmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Emmen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Utrecht that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Emmen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Utrecht - Emmen Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Utrecht will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Emmen will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barkas V. (G) 17. Klaiber S. 33. van der Hoorn M. 24. Viergever N. (C) 2. Van der Maarel M. 6. Bozdogan C. 18. Toornstra J. 26. Boussaid O. 22. van de Streek S. 23. Ramselaar B. 9. Douvikas A.	32. van der Hart M. (G) 17. te Wierik M. 14. Vos D. 34. Bouchouari M. 13. Heylen M. 20. Vlak J. (C) 11. Assehnoun J. 10. Diemers M. 19. Scholte B. 24. Dirksen J. 77. ter Haar Romeny O.
Substitutes
10. Booth T. 16. De Keijzer F. (G) 7. Jensen V. 25. Kluivert R. 20. Labyad Z. 30. Maeda N. 31. Nijhuis T. (G) 27. Sagnan M. 38. Shein R. R. 3. St. Jago T. 5. ter Avest H. 39. van de Haar J.	57. Antonisse J. 5. Araujo M. 15. de Lannoy M. 29. Luzayadio A. 1. Oelschlagel E. (G) 12. Quaedvlieg F. 27. Toufiqui A. 16. van Dorp K. (G) 9. Zivkovic R.
Coaches
Silberbauer M.	Lukkien D.

Preview

Utrecht has the most likely position - 7 (100%), project points - 53, currently - 51, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for ucl.

Emmen has the most likely position - 16 (100%), project points - 29, currently - 28, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.

This event has quality 44, very small importance 0, small match rating 22. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Utrecht won 2.

Recent matches Utrecht is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Emmen is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Utrecht could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Utrecht is indisputable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Utrecht won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Utrecht won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Utrecht
Dutch Eredivisie
21.05.23	Ajax - Utrecht	3:1 ✺
13.05.23	Utrecht - Waalwijk	2:0 ✺
06.05.23	Cambuur - Utrecht	0:3 ✺
23.04.23	Feyenoord - Utrecht	3:1 ✺
16.04.23	Utrecht - Twente	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWLW
- FC Emmen
Dutch Eredivisie
21.05.23	Emmen - Feyenoord	1:3 ✺
14.05.23	AZ Alkmaar - Emmen	5:1 ✺
07.05.23	Emmen - Twente	0:3 ✺
22.04.23	Heerenveen - Emmen	2:3 ✺
16.04.23	Ajax - Emmen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
20.08.22	Emmen - Utrecht	3:2
27.02.21	Utrecht - Emmen	0:1
22.12.20	Emmen - Utrecht	2:3
14.09.19	Utrecht - Emmen	3:1
20.04.19	Emmen - Utrecht	2:0
16.09.18	Utrecht - Emmen	1:2

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