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Current Win Probability
Utrecht 69.4%
Draw 18.2%
Waalwijk 12.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70%
19.2%
10.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72%
18.7%
10.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
8.3%
4.2%
Utrecht - Waalwijk Predictions
Users Predictions:
Utrecht will win
(21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 74.27% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Barkas V. (G) 2. Horemans S. 3. van der Hoorn M. 24. Viergever N. (C) 16. El Karouani S. 21. Aaronson P. 6. Fraulo O. 77. ter Haar Romeny O. 7. Jensen V. 20. Cathline Y. 9. Min D.
21. van Osch Y. (G) 4. Van Gelderen L. 17. van Eijma R. 3. Van den Buijs D. 28. Meijers A. 30. Weidmann D. 6. Oukili Y. 7. Cleonise D. 22. van de Loo T. 14. Lokesa C. 9. Zawada O. (C)
Substitutes
46. Andersen S. 15. Blake A. 8. Bozdogan C. 25. Brouwer M. (G) 32. de Graaff T. (G) 19. Descotte A. 40. Didden M. 5. Finnsson K. 44. Mukeh J. 11. Ohio N. 22. Rodriguez M. 18. Toornstra J.
35. Felida K. 1. Houwen J. (G) 52. Ihattaren M. 11. Jakobsen A. 13. Kesting J. (G) 2. Lelieveld J. 19. Margaret R. 10. Niemeijer R. 20. Takidine I. 18. van der Water S. 8. Vroegh P. 34. Wouters L.
Coaches
Jans R.
Fraser H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Cleonise D. ⚽, van de Loo T. (A),
26', Meijers A. 🟥,
28', 1 - 1, Viergever N. ⚽, El Karouani S. (A),
31', Lokesa C. ↓, Wouters L. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Jensen V. ↓, Toornstra J. ↑,
51', 2 - 1, Aaronson P. ⚽,
52', 3 - 1, Min D. ⚽,
59', Cathline Y. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
64', Zawada O. ↓, Margaret R. ↑,
64', Oukili Y. ↓, van der Water S. ↑,
70', Min D. ↓, Ohio N. ↑,
70', El Karouani S. ↓, Finnsson K. ↑,
80', 3 - 2, Margaret R. (Pen),
83', ter Haar Romeny O. ↓, Bozdogan C. ↑,
85', Ohio N. 🟨,
87', Weidmann D. ↓, Ihattaren M. ↑,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Utrecht won 2.
Utrecht in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Waalwijk has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Utrecht is the unquestionable favorite.
There will not play in Utrecht: Andersen S.
(Injury)
Engwanda A.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Utrecht: Gadellaa K.
(Knee Injury)
Iqbal Z.
(Knock)
Vesterlund N.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Waalwijk: El Harmazi N.
(Shoulder Injury)
Wouters L.
(Injury)
van der Venne R.
(Injury)
Our prediction for today's Utrecht to win the game is with odds 1.39.
Last 17 head-to-head matches Utrecht won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 30:25 (average 1.8:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Utrecht won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18:8 (average 2:0.9).
Finland
Netherlands
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Barkas V. (G) 
Horemans S. 
van der Hoorn M. 
El Karouani S. 
Aaronson P. 
Fraulo O. 
Cathline Y. 
Van Gelderen L. 
van Eijma R. 
Zawada O. (C) 
Blake A. 
Bozdogan C. 
Finnsson K. 
Rodriguez M. 
Jakobsen A. 
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