Match Info

KNVB Beker - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadion Galgenwaard (Utrecht)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSPORTS+ Plus
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 3
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra
Portugal	DAZN / App
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-america	DGO Latin America
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	DSPORTS+ Plus
Venezuela	DSPORTS+ Plus


	Utrecht		Twente

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.32	Watch
	2.92	3.25	2.38
	2.66	3.44	2.52	Watch
	2.88	3.1	2.4
	2.87	3.25	2.43	Watch
	2.9	3.33	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (3.01)	3.3 ↓ (3.34)	2.4 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utrecht
32.6%

Draw
28.4%

Twente
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

27.8%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

26.6%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Twente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Twente than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	50%	18.7%

Utrecht - Twente Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Utrecht will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Twente will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Twente (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Twente (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Twente (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Twente (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barkas V. (G) 2. Horemans S. 3. van der Hoorn M. 24. Viergever N. (C) 16. El Karouani S. 27. Engwanda A. 8. Bozdogan C. 23. Vesterlund N. 7. Jensen V. 10. Cathline Y. 20. de Wit D.	1. Unnerstall L. (G) 28. van Rooij B. 23. Lemkin S. 3. Propper R. (C) 39. Rots M. 6. Zerrouki R. 20. van den Belt T. 11. Rots D. 14. Hlynsson K. 27. Orjasaeter S. 10. Lammers S.
Substitutes
38. Agougil O. 15. Blake A. 25. Brouwer M. (G) 40. Didden M. 44. Eerdhuijzen M. 5. Finnsson K. 33. Gadellaa K. (G) 91. Haller S. 26. Jonathans M. 55. Murkin D. 22. Rodriguez M. 21. Zechiel G.	38. Bruns M. 21. Karssies S. (G) 4. Kjolo M. 43. Nijstad R. 24. Panneflek O. 12. Peixoto G. 22. Tyton P. (G) 37. Unuvar N. 9. van Wolfswinkel R. 25. Vennegoor of Hesselink L. 32. Verschueren A. 42. Weidmann D.
Coaches
Jans R.	van den Brom J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, de Wit D. ⚽,
31', El Karouani S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', El Karouani S. ↓, Murkin D. ↑,
52', Lammers S. 🟨,
54', de Wit D. 🟨,
55', Zerrouki R. 🟨,
59', Lammers S. ↓, van Wolfswinkel R. ↑,
59', Zerrouki R. ↓, Weidmann D. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, van Wolfswinkel R. ⚽, Orjasaeter S. (A),
77', Horemans S. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
77', de Wit D. ↓, Haller S. ↑,
77', Haller S. 🟨,
78', van den Belt T. ↓, Kjolo M. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Rots M. ⚽, van Rooij B. (A),
86', Engwanda A. ↓, Zechiel G. ↑,
86', Orjasaeter S. ↓, Nijstad R. ↑,
86', Hlynsson K. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 2.

Utrecht has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Twente is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Utrecht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Utrecht: Haller S. (Hamstring Injury) Min D. (Injury) van den Berg D. (Injury)

There will not play in Twente: Booth T. (Injury) Hilgers M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Utrecht: Iqbal Z. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:27. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Utrecht won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 2:0.9).

Outrights of Dutch KNVB Beker for now

Twente: 8.95% Utrecht: 2.75%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Utrecht
Dutch Eredivisie
21.12.25	Utrecht - PSV Eindhoven	1:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.12.25	FC Oss - Utrecht	0:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
14.12.25	NAC Breda - Utrecht	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Utrecht - Nottingham Forest	1:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
07.12.25	Utrecht - Twente	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWTLT
- FC Twente
Dutch Eredivisie
10.01.26	Twente - Zwolle	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Feyenoord - Twente	1:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
18.12.25	Spakenburg - Twente	3:6 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
14.12.25	Twente - Go Ahead Eagles	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Utrecht - Twente	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
07.12.25	Utrecht - Twente	1:1
11.05.25	Twente - Utrecht	2:0
01.09.24	Utrecht - Twente	2:1
18.02.24	Twente - Utrecht	0:1
05.11.23	Utrecht - Twente	1:1
16.04.23	Utrecht - Twente	1:0
22.01.23	Twente - Utrecht	2:0

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