The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Utrecht 74.9%
Draw 15.7%
Vitesse 9.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.8%
21%
15.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65%
20.6%
15%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Utrecht's performance.
Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitesse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Utrecht that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitesse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85%
5%
10%
Utrecht - Vitesse Predictions
Users Predictions:
Utrecht will win
(17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%). Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Barkas V. (G) 5. ter Avest H. 2. Van der Maarel M. 24. Viergever N. (C) 16. El Karouani S. 34. Flamingo R. 8. Fraulo O. 10. Booth T. 18. Toornstra J. 26. Boussaid O. 9. Lammers S.
1. Room E. (G) 2. Arcus C. 6. Oroz D. 15. Hendriks R. 5. Mica Pinto 14. Aaronson P. 21. Tielemans M. 17. Kozlowski K. 7. Boutrah A. 8. van Ginkel M. (C) 25. de Regt G.
Substitutes
15. Blake A. 6. Bozdogan C. 31. Branderhorst M. (G) 51. Dithmer A. (G) 45. Held N. 14. Iqbal Z. 7. Jensen V. 37. Lidberg I. 44. Mukeh J. 17. Okkels J. 77. ter Haar Romeny O. 23. Vesterlund N.
55. Bramel T. (G) 19. Buitink T. 13. Cornelisse E. 22. Domgjoni T. 28. Hadj Moussa A. 23. Huisman D. 30. Mazilu A. 20. Meulensteen M. 31. Schubert M. (G)
Coaches
Jans R.
Sturing E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Boutrah A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Booth T. ↓, Jensen V. ↑,
46', Fraulo O. ↓, Iqbal Z. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Jensen V. ⚽, Toornstra J. (A),
58', Tielemans M. 🟨,
60', Tielemans M. ↓, Meulensteen M. ↑,
60', Mica Pinto ↓, Cornelisse E. ↑,
71', Boussaid O. ↓, Lidberg I. ↑,
75', van Ginkel M. ↓, Buitink T. ↑,
75', Boutrah A. ↓, Hadj Moussa A. ↑,
78', Hadj Moussa A. 🟨,
80', Toornstra J. ↓, Bozdogan C. ↑,
85', ter Avest H. ↓, Vesterlund N. ↑,
86', Kozlowski K. ↓, Domgjoni T. ↑,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
Vitesse is Relegated to Eerste Divisie
Last 5 head-to-head matches Utrecht won 2.
Utrecht is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Vitesse is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Utrecht is indisputable favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Utrecht won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 22-25.
Including matches at home between the teams Utrecht won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-9.
Netherlands
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Barkas V. (G) 
ter Avest H. 
El Karouani S. 
Fraulo O. 
Booth T. 
Boussaid O. 
Room E. (G) 
Arcus C. 
Oroz D. 
Mica Pinto 
Kozlowski K. 
Boutrah A. 
Blake A. 
Bozdogan C. 
Iqbal Z. 
Lidberg I. 
Domgjoni T. 
Hadj Moussa A. 
Mazilu A. 
