The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vitesse 32.3%
Draw 26%
NEC Nijmegen 41.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.4%
25.9%
40.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33%
25.6%
41.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
13.3%
33.3%
53.3%
Vitesse - NEC Nijmegen Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Vitesse will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 28.1% โ 78.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Room E. (G) 2. Arcus C. 29. Isimat-Mirin N. (C) 15. Hendriks R. 5. Mica Pinto 14. Aaronson P. 21. Tielemans M. 20. Meulensteen M. 25. de Regt G. 19. Buitink T. 17. Kozlowski K.
1. Cillessen J. (G) 2. Pereira B. 3. Sandler P. 17. Nuytinck B. (C) 5. Baas Y. 6. Hoedemakers M. 23. Sano K. 11. Gonzalez R. 9. Chery T. 14. Larsen L. O. 18. Ogawa K.
Substitutes
7. Boutrah A. 55. Bramel T. (G) 13. Cornelisse E. 22. Domgjoni T. 23. Huisman D. 30. Mazilu A. 6. Oroz D. 31. Schubert M. (G) 8. van Ginkel M. 43. Van Zwam G. 58. Visser A. 9. Voelkerling Persson J.
21. Arts D. 10. Hansen S. 31. Janse R. (G) 34. Reinders T. 22. Roefs R. (G) 32. Rossen N. 4. Ross M. 19. Sow S.
Coaches
Sturing E.
Meijer R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Aaronson P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Nuytinck B. ↓, Ross M. ↑,
46', Baas Y. 🟨,
54', Sano K. 🟨,
61', Larsen L. O. ↓, Hansen S. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Hoedemakers M. ⚽, Hansen S. (A),
67', Buitink T. ↓, Visser A. ↑,
70', Kozlowski K. ↓, Domgjoni T. ↑,
70', Meulensteen M. ↓, Boutrah A. ↑,
75', Ogawa K. ↓, Sow S. ↑,
80', 0 - 2, Hansen S. ⚽, Sano K. (A),
80', Hansen S. 🟨,
82', Pereira B. ↓, Arts D. ↑,
82', de Regt G. ↓, Mazilu A. ↑,
83', Mica Pinto ↓, Oroz D. ↑,
85', Oroz D. 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 3, Hansen S. ⚽, Baas Y. (A),
90+3', Arts D. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Vitesse won 4.
Vitesse has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Nijmegen is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Vitesse won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 30-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Vitesse won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-4.
Netherlands
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Room E. (G) 
Arcus C. 
Isimat-Mirin N. (C) 
Hendriks R. 
Mica Pinto 
Aaronson P. 
Kozlowski K. 
Sano K. 
Gonzalez R. 
Chery T. 
Larsen L. O. 
Domgjoni T. 
Mazilu A. 
Oroz D. 
Schubert M. (G) 
Voelkerling Persson J. 
Ross M. 
