The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vitesse 27.5%
Draw 25.8%
Fortuna Sittard 46.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.3%
23.9%
49.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.3%
23.9%
49.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.3%
4.6%
88.1%
Vitesse - Fortuna Sittard Predictions
Users Predictions:
Fortuna Sittard will win
(96 of 109 users predict this - 88.07%). Confidence interval (95%): 81.98% – 94.16%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Room E. (C) 43. Van Zwam G. 6. Oroz D. 15. Hendriks R. 5. Mica Pinto 21. Tielemans M. 14. Aaronson P. 28. Hadj Moussa A. 17. Kozlowski K. 19. Buitink T. 25. de Regt G.
1. Koopmans L. (G) 24. Markelo N. 3. Fofana S. 2. Voet S. 35. Dijks M. 6. Duarte D. 14. Guth R. (C) 21. Lonwijk J. 10. Halilovic A. 7. Cordoba I. 9. Sierhuis K.
Substitutes
2. Arcus C. 7. Boutrah A. 55. Bramel T. (G) 13. Cornelisse E. 22. Domgjoni T. 23. Huisman D. 29. Isimat-Mirin N. 31. Schubert M. (G) 8. van Ginkel M. 58. Visser A. 9. Voelkerling Persson J.
16. Bayram R. (G) 20. Belkheir M. 37. Bisschops D. 27. Braaf J. 23. Da Cruz A. 17. Griffith I. 22. Hendriks T. (G) 34. Oratmangoen R. 8. Peterson K. 32. Rosier L. 61. Vita R.
Coaches
Sturing E.
Buijs D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Duarte D. 🟨,
17', Voet S. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Aaronson P. ⚽, Buitink T. (A),
29', Markelo N. 🟨,
35', Van Zwam G. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Cordoba I. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Duarte D. ↓, Rosier L. ↑,
46', Markelo N. ↓, Da Cruz A. ↑,
48', Hendriks R. 🟨,
50', 1 - 2, Lonwijk J. (Pen),
60', Buitink T. ↓, van Ginkel M. ↑,
60', Hadj Moussa A. ↓, Boutrah A. ↑,
68', 2 - 2, van Ginkel M. ⚽, Boutrah A. (A),
76', 3 - 2, Aaronson P. ⚽, Kozlowski K. (A),
78', Cordoba I. ↓, Peterson K. ↑,
79', Halilovic A. ↓, Oratmangoen R. ↑,
81', de Regt G. ↓, Cornelisse E. ↑,
81', Van Zwam G. 🟨,
84', Mica Pinto 🟨,
86', Tielemans M. ↓, Arcus C. ↑,
86', Voet S. ↓, Braaf J. ↑,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 11).
Vitesse is Relegated to Eerste Divisie
Last 5 head-to-head matches Vitesse won 1.
Vitesse has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Fortuna Sittard is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Vitesse could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Fortuna Sittard will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Vitesse won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20-18.
Including matches at home between the teams Vitesse won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.
Netherlands
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Room E. (C) 
Van Zwam G. 
Oroz D. 
Mica Pinto 
Aaronson P. 
Hadj Moussa A. 
Kozlowski K. 
Fofana S. 
Voet S. 
Duarte D. 
Guth R. (C) 
Cordoba I. 
Arcus C. 
Boutrah A. 
Domgjoni T. 
Schubert M. (G) 
Voelkerling Persson J. 
Oratmangoen R. 
