#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Vélez Sársfield 64.9%
Draw 23.2%
Independiente Rivadavia 11.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51%
28.7%
20.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.3%
27.5%
19.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vélez Sársfield's performance.
Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Rivadavia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vélez Sársfield that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Rivadavia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Users Predictions:
Vélez Sársfield will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Marchiori T. (G) 4. Garcia J. 2. Mammana E. 31. Gomez V. 3. Gomez E. 32. Ordonez C. 26. Bouzat A. (C) 20. Pizzini F. 22. Aquino C. 27. Fernandez T. 9. Braian Romero
1. Centurion E. (G) 29. Abecasis L. 2. Bianchi B. 5. Burgos E. 16. Ostchega T. 8. Ham E. 26. Romero F. (C) 17. Rios L. 7. Ramis V. 31. Asenjo M. 22. Villa S.
Substitutes
28. Carrizo M. 35. Caseres S. 5. Elias J. 24. Guidara T. 36. Montoro A. 11. Pellegrini M. 23. Pernicone P. 17. Pineiro R. 6. Quiros A. 12. Rodriguez R. (G) 19. Roldan L. 7. Santos M.
20. Gallardo N. 32. Marinelli G. (G) 25. Milo F. 6. Mulet A. 28. Rios G. 39. Romero F. 41. Ruiz M. 9. Sanguina J. 43. Sartori F. 24. Sequeira L. 11. Tonetto D. 40. Villalba I.
Coaches
Quinteros G.
Berti A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Braian Romero ⚽, Aquino C. (A),
23', Abecasis L. 🟨,
30', 2 - 0, Gomez E. ⚽, Ordonez C. (A),
31', Asenjo M. 🟨,
40', Aquino C. ↓, Santos M. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Asenjo M. ↓, Romero F. ↑,
46', Ramis V. ↓, Sartori F. ↑,
58', Romero F. 🟨,
67', Bianchi B. 🟨,
69', 3 - 0, Pizzini F. ⚽, Ordonez C. (A),
76', Santos M. (Pen),
76', 4 - 0, Santos M. ⚽,
77', Ostchega T. ↓, Milo F. ↑,
77', Ham E. ↓, Sequeira L. ↑,
78', Rios L. ↓, Rios G. ↑,
81', Braian Romero ↓, Pellegrini M. ↑,
81', Pizzini F. ↓, Montoro A. ↑,
82', Fernandez T. ↓, Carrizo M. ↑,
85', Bouzat A. ↓, Elias J. ↑,
Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 18).
Vélez in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Independiente Rivadavia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Vélez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Vélez is absolute favorite.
There will not play in Vélez: Gordillo Y.
(Injury)
Lagos A.
(Injury)
There will not play in Independiente Rivadavia: Castro F.
(Injury)
Our prediction for today's Vélez to win the game is with odds 1.49.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Vélez won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
Including matches at home between the teams Vélez won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
Argentina
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Croatia
Indonesia
Italy
Turkey
World
Watch
#ad
Marchiori T. (G) 
Ham E. 
Villa S. 
Pineiro R. 
Romero F. 
Quinteros G. 
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
