Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 24 July 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio José Amalfitani (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	AFA Play, TNT Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Vélez Sársfield		Instituto Córdoba

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	4.1	Watch
	2.15	2.95	3.70
	2.12	2.98	4.15	Watch
	2.17	3.02	4.28
	2.22	3.02	3.7
	2.11	2.95	4.2
	2.07	3.03	4.36	Watch
	2.09	2.95	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.06)	2.99 (2.99)	4.06 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez Sársfield
44.8%

Draw
31.8%

Instituto Córdoba
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

31.2%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

The chances for Instituto Córdoba have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	35.7%	14.3%

Vélez Sársfield - Instituto Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Instituto will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vélez (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marchiori T. (G) 4. Garcia J. 32. Silvero T. 16. Magallan L. 3. Gomez E. (C) 5. Baeza C. 29. Aliendro R. 11. Pellegrini M. 50. Andrada T. 22. Lanzini M. 9. Monzon F.	29. Ledesma M. (G) 30. Galvan J. 26. Mosevich L. 6. Alarcon F. R. (C) 44. Cerato G. 55. Abregu G. 15. Gallardo M. 3. Sosa D. 20. Cordoba Mosquera J. E. 10. Luna A. 17. Tissera M.
Substitutes
39. Aguirre T. 42. Cortez A. (G) 19. Cristaldo L. 18. Escobar S. 48. Feler L. 15. Godoy D. 47. Pereyra A. 37. Policella J. 8. Robertone L. 10. Valdes D. 17. Veron A.	8. Acevedo J. 90. Baster P. 32. Bravo A. 2. De La Fuente H. 11. Fonseca M. 7. Guerra N. 21. Lazaro J. 22. Massaccesi A. 23. Meli A. 13. Mendez J. 35. Sittaro Miranda E. O. (G) 9. Suarez F.
Coaches
Barros Schelotto G.	Flores D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Gallardo M. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Lanzini M. ⚽, Andrada T. (A),
45+2', Alarcon F. R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Abregu G. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
63', Pellegrini M. ↓, Veron A. ↑,
66', Tissera M. ↓, Guerra N. ↑,
66', Luna A. ↓, Lazaro J. ↑,
75', Baeza C. 🟨,
76', Gallardo M. ↓, Fonseca M. ↑,
76', Cordoba Mosquera J. E. ↓, Suarez F. ↑,
78', Baeza C. ↓, Robertone L. ↑,
78', Lanzini M. ↓, Valdes D. ↑,
79', Silvero T. 🟨,
88', Andrada T. ↓, Feler L. ↑,
89', Monzon F. ↓, Godoy D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 3.

Vélez might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Vélez: Gordon J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Instituto: Albarracin L. (Muscle Injury) Erquiaga I. (Thigh Injury) Rafaelli L. (Hamstring Injury) Suarez F. (Knee Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.6:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Vélez Sársfield - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.31%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.05.26	Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
04.05.26	Vélez Sársfield - Newells Old Boys	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
30.04.26	Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.04.26	Vélez Sársfield - Unión Santa Fe	2:2 ✺
20.04.26	San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTWTT
- Instituto Córdoba
Copa Argentina
30.05.26	Instituto Córdoba - Lanús	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.05.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Instituto Córdoba	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Newells Old Boys - Instituto Córdoba	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Instituto Córdoba - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Deportivo Riestra - Instituto Córdoba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.01.26	Instituto Córdoba - Vélez Sársfield	0:1
26.07.25	Vélez Sársfield - Instituto Córdoba	0:0
02.02.25	Instituto Córdoba - Vélez Sársfield	2:0
17.08.24	Vélez Sársfield - Instituto Córdoba	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
16.03.24	Vélez Sársfield - Instituto Córdoba	1:0
28.10.23	Instituto Córdoba - Vélez Sársfield	0:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.04.23	Instituto Córdoba - Vélez Sársfield	1:0

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