Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio José Amalfitani (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Vélez Sársfield		Lanús

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.6	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.3
	2.3	2.92	3.5	Watch
	2.3	3.03	3.71
	2.24	3.04	3.61
	2.2	2.8	3.5
	2.24	2.93	3.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 (2.25)	2.95 (2.95)	3.54 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez Sársfield
41.6%

Draw
31.9%

Lanús
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

31.3%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

29.9%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Lanús aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Vélez Sársfield - Lanús Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Lanús will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Montero A. (G) 4. Garcia J. 2. Mammana E. 16. Magallan L. 3. Gomez E. (C) 29. Aliendro R. 8. Robertone L. 50. Andrada T. 22. Lanzini M. 15. Godoy D. 23. Monzon F.	26. Losada N. (G) 33. Guidara T. 24. Izquierdoz C. (C) 13. Canale Dominguez J. 6. Marcich S. 30. Cardozo A. 17. Medina A. 11. Salvio E. 23. Carrera R. 25. Aquino D. 9. Bou W.
Substitutes
35. Arias M. 5. Baeza C. 49. Dominguez D. 48. Feler L. 1. Marchiori T. (G) 11. Pellegrini M. 14. Pineiro R. 6. Quiros A. 9. Romero B. 32. Silvero T. 10. Valdes D. 17. Veron A.	38. Acosta B. 77. Besozzi L. 20. Cabrera B. 35. De Jesus R. 37. De Martis T. 3. Morgantini N. 4. Perez G. 1. Petroli F. (G) 2. Romero L. 27. Sanchez F. 19. Valois Y. 8. Watson F. N.
Coaches
Barros Schelotto G.	Pellegrino M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Barros Schelotto G. 🟨,
30', Aquino D. ↓, Cabrera B. ↑,
35', Robertone L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Losada N. 🟨,
67', Godoy D. ↓, Valdes D. ↑,
67', Bou W. ↓, Besozzi L. ↑,
71', 0 - 1, Izquierdoz C. ⚽, Salvio E. (A),
78', Monzon F. ↓, Romero B. ↑,
78', Robertone L. ↓, Pellegrini M. ↑,
82', Medina A. ↓, Perez G. ↑,
82', Salvio E. ↓, Watson F. N. ↑,
83', Carrera R. ↓, Valois Y. ↑,
86', Mammana E. ↓, Silvero T. ↑,
86', Garcia J. ↓, Veron A. ↑,
90', Watson F. N. 🟨,
90+6', Guidara T. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Vélez might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Vélez: Garcia J. (Inactive) Gordon J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Lanús: Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Marcelino Moreno (Inactive) Sepulveda M. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:22. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:3. (average 2.4:0.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Vélez Sársfield - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.99%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.03.26	Platense - Vélez Sársfield	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Tigre - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
02.03.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Vélez Sársfield	0:1 ✺
25.02.26	Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Vélez Sársfield - River Plate	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WTWTW
- CA Lanús
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.03.26	Lanús - Newells Old Boys	5:0 ✺
13.03.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Lanús	0:1 ✺
04.03.26	Lanús - Boca Juniors	0:3 ✺
01.03.26	Defensa y Justicia - Lanús	1:1 ✺
Recopa Sudamericana
26.02.26	Flamengo - Lanús	2:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.1 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.08.25	Vélez Sársfield - Lanús	3:0
Copa Argentina
21.05.25	Lanús - Vélez Sársfield	2:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.02.25	Lanús - Vélez Sársfield	0:0
20.11.24	Vélez Sársfield - Lanús	0:0
04.07.23	Lanús - Vélez Sársfield	0:1
20.07.22	Lanús - Vélez Sársfield	2:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
02.04.22	Vélez Sársfield - Lanús	3:1

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