The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vélez Sársfield 49.7%
Draw 29.9%
Platense 20.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.7%
30.4%
19.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.5%
29.9%
19.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Vélez Sársfield have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.9%
0%
11.1%
Vélez Sársfield - Platense Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Platense (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Vélez Sársfield will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%). Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Platense (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Marchiori T. (G) 4. Garcia J. 32. Silvero T. 16. Magallan L. 3. Gomez E. (C) 29. Aliendro R. 8. Robertone L. 39. Aguirre T. 22. Lanzini M. 37. Policella J. 77. Martinez R.
30. Cozzani J. (G) 4. Lagos A. 34. Mendia M. 31. Victor Cuesta 3. Silva T. 15. Amarfil M. 24. Barrios M. 7. Mainero G. (C) 18. Merlini B. 43. Retamar K. 79. Sepulveda B.
Substitutes
35. Arias M. 5. Baeza C. 19. Cristaldo L. 18. Escobar S. 48. Feler L. 15. Godoy D. 21. Gordon J. 47. Pereyra A. 30. Piola L. 27. Prima S. 23. Sanguinetti F. (G) 10. Valdes D.
17. Bussio F. 33. Gauto J. 5. Gomez I. 23. Heredia L. 99. Lencina G. 8. Lopez F. 11. Lopez N. 29. Minerva F. 6. Raggio E. 22. Sumavil N. (G) 16. Togni G. 10. Zapiola F.
Coaches
Barros Schelotto G.
Palermo M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Martinez R. ⚽,
7', 1 - 1, Merlini B. ⚽,
9', Lanzini M. ↓, Valdes D. ↑,
14', Policella J. ↓, Escobar S. ↑,
45+1', Lagos A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 2 - 1, Martinez R. ⚽, Escobar S. (A),
65', Merlini B. ↓, Zapiola F. ↑,
65', Mainero G. ↓, Togni G. ↑,
65', Amarfil M. ↓, Gomez I. ↑,
71', Aguirre T. ↓, Feler L. ↑,
71', Sepulveda B. ↓, Lencina G. ↑,
79', Silva T. 🟨,
84', Gomez I. 🟨,
88', 2 - 2, Zapiola F. ⚽, Lagos A. (A),
89', Retamar K. ↓, Gauto J. ↑,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Playoffs - 1/8 - finals) and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Vélez could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Vélez carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Confirmed absences for Vélez: Gordon J.
(Knee Injury)
Mammana E.
(Ribs Injury).
Confirmed absences for Platense: Bobadilla H.
(Knee Injury)
Gimenez L.
(Shoulder Injury)
Goni G.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Ingenthron C.
(Red Card)
Nasif T.
(Knee Injury)
Quiros S.
(Knee Injury).
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Vélez has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:6 (averaging 1:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vélez against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 1:3 goals (averaging 0.3:1 per game).
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Marchiori T. (G) 
Martinez R. 
Barrios M. 
Baeza C. 
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