Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 18

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Lemonsoft Stadion (Vaasa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	VPS Vaasa		Inter Turku

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.80	3.25	2.45
	2.68	3.25	2.58	Watch
	2.85	3.3	2.69
	2.78	3.28	2.58	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.65
	2.9	3.17	2.44	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.63)	3.21 ↓ (3.54)	2.55 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VPS Vaasa
33.9%

Draw
29.3%

Inter Turku
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

26.7%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

26.8%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VPS Vaasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Inter Turku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Turku than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	33.3%	25%

VPS Vaasa - Inter Turku Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. VPS will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Inter Turku will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for VPS: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Jalloh M. (G) 23. Niemi M. 6. Okereke E. 19. Haukioja M. (C) 13. Ogunniyi O. 2. Mane L. 27. Kouassivi-Benissan K. 8. Lima P. 7. Turfkruier J. 14. Lindholm S. 20. Odhiambo X.	1. Huuhtanen E. (G) 24. Tauriainen J. 22. Kuittinen L. (C) 30. Amankwah Y. 2. Niska J. 19. Jarvinen I. 4. Ahiabu P. 35. Kiiskila E. 23. Essomba L. 11. Botue J. 27. Ulundu V.
Substitutes
24. Daoussi Y. 26. Forsbacka R. 33. Kuek A. 11. Muzinga J. 34. Raisanen A. 3. Simpson R. 30. Vahtera J. 9. van Duivenbooden S. 12. Vayrynen L. (G)	17. Ampofo B. 10. Conteh A. 26. Huovila V. 16. Jephta C. 14. Laine J. 18. Saarinen S. 20. Sandler A. 9. Tuominen J. 12. Vuorjoki E. (G)
Coaches
Nuorela J.	Vasara V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Kiiskila E. ⚽,
29', Lima P. 🟨,
32', Tauriainen J. 🟨,
42', Jarvinen I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Odhiambo X. ↓, Muzinga J. ↑,
61', Jarvinen I. ↓, Laine J. ↑,
61', Botue J. ↓, Conteh A. ↑,
61', Ulundu V. ↓, Jephta C. ↑,
67', Lima P. ↓, Raisanen A. ↑,
73', Essomba L. ↓, Tuominen J. ↑,
75', Kouassivi-Benissan K. ↓, van Duivenbooden S. ↑,
76', Kuittinen L. 🟨,
86', Niska J. ↓, Saarinen S. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, VPS won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Inter Turku may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Inter Turku: Kangasniemi I. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Inter Turku: Granlund A. (Inactive) Yli-Kokko J. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, VPS won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 33:33. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, VPS won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.6:1.4).

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now

Inter Turku: 44.48% VPS: 0.46%

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter Turku	26	13	10	3	32:18	14	49
6	VPS	26	10	6	10	30:31	-1	36

Last Results with these Odds

VPS Vaasa - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.94%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VPS Vaasa
Finnish Veikkausliiga
25.07.26	KuPS Kuopio - VPS Vaasa	3:1 ✺
18.07.26	HJK - VPS Vaasa	2:1 ✺
10.07.26	VPS Vaasa - SJK	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	VPS Vaasa - IFK Mariehamn	4:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
30.06.26	VPS Vaasa - Inter Turku	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWWL
- Inter Turku
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Inter Turku - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
26.07.26	Inter Turku - Gnistan	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.07.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Inter Turku	1:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
19.07.26	FF Jaro - Inter Turku	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.07.26	Inter Turku - Sarajevo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Cup
30.06.26	VPS Vaasa - Inter Turku	2:3
Finnish Veikkausliiga
04.04.26	Inter Turku - VPS Vaasa	0:0
31.08.25	Inter Turku - VPS Vaasa	2:1
19.04.25	VPS Vaasa - Inter Turku	0:2
Club Friendly
12.03.25	Inter Turku - VPS Vaasa	4:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga
28.06.24	Inter Turku - VPS Vaasa	3:1
27.05.24	VPS Vaasa - Inter Turku	3:1

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