Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 22

Date: 17 January 2025, Friday

Location: Covebo Stadion - De Koel (Venlo)

Referee: Vereijken R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra


	VVV-Venlo		Telstar

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
				Watch
	3.4	3.4	2
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (2.94)	3.4 ↓ (3.64)	2 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

VVV-Venlo
27%

Draw
27%

Telstar
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

25.6%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

24.7%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for VVV-Venlo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	11.1%	55.6%

VVV Venlo - Telstar Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Venlo will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Telstar will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Telstar: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. van Crooij D. (G) 12. Mokono S. 4. Ketting R. (C) 33. Blancquart G. 19. Gyamfi E. 29. Braem T. 35. el Anbri Y. 8. Sierra E. 17. Berden M. 21. De Waal M. 11. Verheijen T.	1. Koeman R. (G) 3. Apau M. (C) 21. Koswal D. 6. Bakker D. 25. Owusu T. 17. Rossen N. 4. Offerhaus G. 2. Hardeveld J. 9. El Kachati Y. 10. Eddahchouri Z. 7. Hamdaoui M.
Substitutes
30. Dailoski D. 10. Darri B. 1. de Boer J. (G) 9. Doumtsios K. 27. Joosten T. 32. Kessels R. 44. Sow S. 25. Taylan Z. (G) 37. van Zutphen D.	24. Benzzine A. 28. Bodak T. (G) 19. Hagedoorn S. 23. Hetli S. 20. Houweling J. (G) 14. Kaandorp M. 27. Kharchouch R. 15. Lechkar A. 11. Noslin T. 8. Turfkruier J. 18. van Ekeris R.
Coaches
Lammers J.	Correia A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', El Kachati Y. 🟨,
70', El Kachati Y. ↓, Hetli S. ↑,
70', Hamdaoui M. ↓, Kaandorp M. ↑,
72', Apau M. 🟨,
78', 1 - 0, Sierra E. ⚽, Verheijen T. (A),
79', De Waal M. ↓, Doumtsios K. ↑,
79', Ketting R. ↓, van Zutphen D. ↑,
79', Verheijen T. ↓, Darri B. ↑,
81', Owusu T. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
81', Rossen N. ↓, Kharchouch R. ↑,
83', Braem T. 🟨,
90+2', Darri B. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Venlo won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Telstar will have a mini benefit in this match.

There are questionable in Venlo: Timber D. (Knee Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Venlo won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23:21 (average 1.5:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Venlo won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1.4:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VVV-Venlo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.01.25	Vitesse - VVV-Venlo	1:4 ✺
21.12.24	VVV-Venlo - Excelsior	1:1 ✺
13.12.24	FC Eindhoven - VVV-Venlo	1:3 ✺
06.12.24	VVV-Venlo - FC Oss	0:0 ✺
01.12.24	De Graafschap - VVV-Venlo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WTWTL
- SC Telstar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.01.25	Telstar - Jong PSV	1:0 ✺
22.12.24	MVV Maastricht - Telstar	5:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
19.12.24	Ajax - Telstar	2:0 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
13.12.24	Telstar - Helmond Sport	3:0 ✺
06.12.24	Dordrecht - Telstar	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
15.11.24	Telstar - VVV-Venlo	4:0
22.12.23	VVV-Venlo - Telstar	2:1
09.09.23	Telstar - VVV-Venlo	1:2
21.04.23	Telstar - VVV-Venlo	1:0
23.09.22	VVV-Venlo - Telstar	1:1
15.04.22	VVV-Venlo - Telstar	3:2
03.12.21	Telstar - VVV-Venlo	1:3

Upcoming Matches