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Current Win Probability
VVV-Venlo 18.8%
Draw 22.1%
Excelsior 59.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.8%
22.3%
59%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.3%
21.7%
60.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for VVV-Venlo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.1%
18.2%
72.7%
VVV Venlo - Excelsior Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Venlo will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Excelsior will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Excelsior: 46.4% โ 99%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. van Crooij D. (G) 12. Mokono S. 33. Blancquart G. 3. Janssen R. (C) 5. Janssen S. 26. Matoug N. 29. Braem T. 8. Sierra E. 17. Berden M. 21. De Waal M. 7. Wehmeyer L.
1. Raatsie C. (G) 2. Bronkhorst I. 5. Widell C. 4. Warmerdam D. 32. de Moes S. 15. Naujoks N. 23. Hatenboer C. 20. Hartjes L. 30. Sanches Fernandes D. 10. Duijvestijn L. (C) 7. Fini S.
Substitutes
1. de Boer J. (G) 18. Doesburg P. 9. Doumtsios K. 35. el Anbri Y. 19. Gyamfi E. 10. Popperl P. 14. Roemer Y. 25. Taylan Z. (G) 37. van Zutphen D. 11. Verheijen T.
33. Bergraaf J. 11. Booth Z. 21. Donkor J. 24. Eijgenraam J. 40. Holla T. (G) 18. Loeffen S. 14. Rosario R. 34. Seymor S. 29. van Duinen M.
Coaches
Lammers J.
den Uil R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Janssen R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Janssen R. ↓, el Anbri Y. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Hartjes L. ⚽, Duijvestijn L. (A),
65', Fini S. ↓, Booth Z. ↑,
66', Bronkhorst I. ↓, Eijgenraam J. ↑,
71', De Waal M. ↓, Doumtsios K. ↑,
77', Hatenboer C. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
81', Braem T. ↓, Popperl P. ↑,
81', Matoug N. ↓, Doesburg P. ↑,
81', Berden M. ↓, Verheijen T. ↑,
81', de Moes S. 🟨,
86', de Moes S. ↓, Seymor S. ↑,
89', Popperl P. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 1, Wehmeyer L. ⚽,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Venlo won 1.
Venlo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Excelsior is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Venlo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Excelsior is a favorite.
There will not play in Excelsior: Blomme X.
(Injury)
Zagre A.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Excelsior: Pierie K.
(Foot Injury)
Last 11 head-to-head matches Venlo won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10:20 (average 0.9:1.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Venlo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.3:1.8).
Netherlands
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van Crooij D. (G) 
Blancquart G. 
Sierra E. 
Wehmeyer L. 
Widell C. 
Fini S. 
Doumtsios K. 
Roemer Y. 
Booth Z. 
Rosario R. 
