Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 21

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: 711 Stadium (Velsen-Zuid)

Referee: Hardeman T. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1


	Telstar		Jong PSV

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	6.25
	1.44	4.6	5.5
	1.44	5	6	Watch
	1.46	4.66	5.88	Watch
	1.44	4.5	5.8
	1.45	4.85	5.89	Watch
	1.44	5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.54)	4.73 ↑ (4.3)	5.9 ↑ (5.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Telstar
64.5%

Draw
19.7%

Jong PSV
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

21.8%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

21.1%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Telstar - Jong PSV Predictions

Users Predictions: Telstar will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koeman R. (G) 3. Apau M. (C) 21. Koswal D. 6. Bakker D. 25. Owusu T. 17. Rossen N. 4. Offerhaus G. 2. Hardeveld J. 23. Hetli S. 7. Hamdaoui M. 10. Eddahchouri Z.	1. Schiks N. (G) 2. van de Blaak E. 3. Gomez van Hoogen S. 4. Kuhn W. 5. van den Heuvel T. 10. Abed T. 6. Land T. 8. Bawuah J. 7. Younis M. 9. Uneken J. 11. Bars E.
Substitutes
24. Benzzine A. 28. Bodak T. (G) 9. El Kachati Y. 19. Hagedoorn S. 20. Houweling J. (G) 14. Kaandorp M. 27. Kharchouch R. 15. Lechkar A. 11. Noslin T. 8. Turfkruier J. 18. van Ekeris R.	22. Dagasan M. 18. Gilbert D. 19. Houben I. 23. Markdal M. (G) 17. Ndala J. 20. Simons J. 16. Steur R. (G) 21. Thomas A. 15. Van de Riet R.
Coaches
Correia A.	Groenendijk A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Uneken J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 0, Eddahchouri Z. ⚽, Hamdaoui M. (A),
62', Land T. ↓, Gilbert D. ↑,
63', Hetli S. ↓, El Kachati Y. ↑,
69', Younis M. ↓, Thomas A. ↑,
69', Bawuah J. ↓, Ndala J. ↑,
69', Abed T. ↓, Simons J. ↑,
72', Hamdaoui M. ↓, Kaandorp M. ↑,
72', Owusu T. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
81', Bakker D. ↓, Turfkruier J. ↑,
81', Gomez van Hoogen S. ↓, Dagasan M. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Telstar won 3.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Telstar is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Jong PSV: Fofana F. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Jong PSV: Babadi I. (Injury) Driouech C. (Ankle Injury) Nagalo A. (Shoulder Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Telstar won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 22:30 (average 1.1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Telstar won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:10 (average 1.1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Telstar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
22.12.24	MVV Maastricht - Telstar	5:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
19.12.24	Ajax - Telstar	2:0 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
13.12.24	Telstar - Helmond Sport	3:0 ✺
06.12.24	Dordrecht - Telstar	3:2 ✺
29.11.24	Telstar - Cambuur	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWLT
- Jong PSV
Dutch Eerste Divisie
20.12.24	Jong PSV - Vitesse	6:4 ✺
13.12.24	Den Bosch - Jong PSV	1:1 ✺
09.12.24	Jong PSV - Roda	2:3 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
05.12.24	Norwich City U21 - Jong PSV	2:0 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
29.11.24	FC Eindhoven - Jong PSV	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
26.08.24	Jong PSV - Telstar	0:2
05.04.24	Telstar - Jong PSV	3:1
14.08.23	Jong PSV - Telstar	1:0
17.02.23	Telstar - Jong PSV	1:1
07.10.22	Jong PSV - Telstar	0:2
17.12.21	Telstar - Jong PSV	0:0
18.10.21	Jong PSV - Telstar	2:3

Upcoming Matches