Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 10

Date: 23 October 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Cyprus	PrimeTel
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports, beIN Sports Max
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2, Canal+ Sport 5
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	CMore Live
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Valencia		Cádiz

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.66	3.6	5.75
	1.7	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.69	3.71	5.96
	1.69	3.67	5.96
	1.67	3.6	5.5
	1.65	3.76	5.8	Watch
	1.71	3.6	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.82)	3.66 ↑ (3.53)	5.7 ↑ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valencia
57%

Draw
26.2%

Cádiz
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

26.9%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

24.5%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valencia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cádiz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.9%	13.3%	4.8%

Valencia - Cádiz Predictions

Users Predictions: Valencia will win (68 of 83 users predict this - 81.93%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.65% – 90.21%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 12. Correia T. 5. Gabriel Paulista 3. Mosquera C. 14. Gaya J. (C) 23. Perez F. 18. Pepelu 19. Amallah S. 8. Guerra J. 16. Lopez D. 9. Duro H.	1. Ledesma C. (G) 20. Carcelen I. 22. Mere J. 3. Fali 15. Hernandez J. 11. Alejo I. 17. Escalante G. 12. Kouame R. 27. Navarro R. 16. Ramos C. 25. Gomez M.
Substitutes
1. Domenech J. (G) 20. Foulquier D. 34. Gasiorowski Y. 30. Gonzalez H. 27. Gozalbez P. 6. Guillamon H. 15. Ozkacar C. 13. Rivero C. (G) 17. Yaremchuk R.	8. Fernandez A. 13. Gil D. (G) 19. Guardiola S. 6. Jose Mari 33. Lucas Pires 21. Marti R. 30. Morata A. 9. Negredo A. 7. Sobrino R. 2. Zaldua J.
Coaches
Baraja R.	Sergio

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valencia won 1.

Recent matches Valencia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cádiz is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Valencia is a favorite.

There will not play in Valencia: Almeida A. (Injury) Diakhaby M. (Thigh Injury) Mari A. (Muscle Injury) Vazquez J. (Injury)

There will not play in Cádiz: Alcaraz R. (Yellow Cards) Alcaraz R. (Yellow Cards) Calderon M. (Injury) Chust V. (Muscle Injury) Hernandez L. (Knee Injury) Machis D. (Red Card) Ocampo B. (Lacking Match Fitness) San Emeterio F. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Valencia: Canos S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cádiz: Mbaye M. (Muscle Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Valencia won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Valencia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
07.10.23	Mallorca - Valencia	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Betis - Valencia	3:0 ✺
27.09.23	Valencia - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	Almería - Valencia	2:2 ✺
16.09.23	Valencia - Atlético Madrid	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLLTW
- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga
07.10.23	Cádiz - Girona	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Atlético Madrid - Cádiz	3:2 ✺
27.09.23	Cádiz - Rayo Vallecano	0:0 ✺
24.09.23	Betis - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Athletic Bilbao - Cádiz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
30.04.23	Cádiz - Valencia	2:1
06.01.23	Valencia - Cádiz	0:1
03.04.22	Valencia - Cádiz	0:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.02.22	Valencia - Cádiz	2:1
Spanish LaLiga
02.10.21	Cádiz - Valencia	0:0
04.04.21	Cádiz - Valencia	2:1
04.01.21	Valencia - Cádiz	1:1

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