Match Info

LaLiga - Round 27

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	ESPN 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 3
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Tanzania	ZBC 2 Tanzania
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 3
Vietnam	SCTV 15


	Valencia		Deportivo Alavés

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	4.1	Watch
	2.12	3.05	3.95	Watch
	2.16	3.13	4.18
	2.12	3.14	3.91	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.75
	2.12	3.1	4.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.16)	3.05 ↓ (3.09)	4.02 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Valencia
45.1%

Draw
31.2%

Deportivo Alavés
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

30.8%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

31.7%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.2%	42.9%	11.9%

Valencia - Deportivo Alavés Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Valencia will win (votes: 18 - 43.9%). Alavés will win (votes: 5 - 12.2%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 43.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valencia: 28.7% – 59.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Valencia (votes: 5 - 50%). Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Valencia (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Valencia (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Valencia (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dimitrievski S. (G) 12. Rendall T. 4. Nunez U. 24. Comert E. 14. Gaya J. (C) 17. Ramazani L. 2. Rodriguez G. 23. Ugrinic F. 11. Rioja L. 8. Guerra J. 6. Sadiq U.	1. Sivera A. (G) 14. Tenaglia N. 23. Protesoni C. (C) 5. Pacheco J. 17. Jonny Otto 7. Perez A. 8. Blanco A. 18. Guridi J. 10. Alena C. 11. Martinez T. 15. Boye L.
Substitutes
10. Almeida A. 7. Danjuma A. 9. Duro H. 16. Lopez D. 27. Otorbi D. 18. Pepelu 19. Raba D. 20. Renzo Saravia 13. Rivero C. (G) 22. Santamaria B. 5. Tarrega C. 21. Vazquez J.	20. Calebe 22. Diabate I. 9. Diaz M. 13. Fernandez R. (G) 6. Guevara A. 16. Koski V. 21. Rebbach A. 4. Suarez D. 31. Swiderski G. (G) 3. Yusi
Coaches
Corberan C.	Sanchez Flores Q.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Boye L. (Penalty Awarded),
17', Ramazani L. 🟨,
30', Protesoni C. ↓, Yusi ↑,
36', Guridi J. 🟨,
43', Yusi 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Guerra J. ⚽, Sadiq U. (A),
58', Pacheco J. 🟨,
68', Alena C. ↓, Guevara A. ↑,
68', Guridi J. ↓, Suarez D. ↑,
70', Rioja L. ↓, Danjuma A. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Boye L. ⚽, Suarez D. (A),
74', Ugrinic F. ↓, Duro H. ↑,
82', Rendall T. ↓, Raba D. ↑,
82', Guerra J. ↓, Almeida A. ↑,
82', Ramazani L. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
84', Martinez T. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Comert E. ⚽,
90+2', Guevara A. 🟨,
90+7', Pacheco J. 🟨,
90+7', Guevara A. 🟨,
90+9', 3 - 2, Duro H. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 16)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 0.

In recent matches, Valencia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Alavés's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Alavés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Valencia could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Valencia: Agirrezabala J. (Knee Injury) Beltran L. (Knee Injury) Copete J. (Ankle Injury) Diakhaby M. (Muscle Injury) Foulquier D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Alavés: Diaz M. (Coach's decision) Garces F. (Suspended) Ibanez P. (Yellow Cards) Parada V. (Red Card)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Valencia won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Alaves: 0.4% Valencia: 0.31%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11:6	5	11
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4:13	-9	4

Last Results with these Odds

Valencia - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 44.07%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
01.03.26	Valencia - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Villarreal - Valencia	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Levante - Valencia	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Valencia - Real Madrid	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.02.26	Valencia - Athletic Bilbao	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLL
- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
27.02.26	Levante - Deportivo Alavés	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Deportivo Alavés - Girona	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Sevilla - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Deportivo Alavés - Getafe	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.02.26	Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
20.10.25	Deportivo Alavés - Valencia	0:0
14.05.25	Deportivo Alavés - Valencia	1:0
22.12.24	Valencia - Deportivo Alavés	2:2
Club Friendly
24.07.24	Valencia - Deportivo Alavés	0:1
Spanish LaLiga
05.05.24	Valencia - Deportivo Alavés	0:1
02.09.23	Deportivo Alavés - Valencia	1:0
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Valencia - Deportivo Alavés	2:0

Upcoming Matches