Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 January 2026, Thursday


	Burgos		Valencia

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2.01	Watch
	3.7	3.2	2.12
	10.65	4.60	1.33	Watch
	3.5	3	2.1	Watch
	3.77	3.22	2.2	Watch
	3.75	3.1	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.8 ↑ (4.43)	3.35 ↓ (3.44)	1.98 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
20.6%

Draw
29.5%

Valencia
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

26.6%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

26.3%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.2%	10.8%	73%

Burgos - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 6 - 16.2%). Valencia will win (votes: 27 - 73%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valencia: 58.7% – 87.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Burgos (2.72) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - Valencia (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Valencia will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgos (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Valencia (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ruiz J. (G) 15. Bunuel A. 18. Cordoba A. (C) 28. del Cerro S. 22. Martinez B. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 33. Exposito M. 6. Gonzalez S. 31. Garcia F. 11. Mollejo V. 7. Mejia M.	1. Dimitrievski S. (G) 26. Rubo 5. Tarrega C. (C) 24. Comert E. 21. Vazquez J. 8. Guerra J. 22. Santamaria B. 16. Lopez D. 10. Almeida A. 17. Ramazani L. 6. Sadiq U.
Substitutes
10. Appin K. 5. Atienza M. 13. Cantero A. (G) 17. Cantero M. 21. Cordoba I. 16. Curro 20. Gonzalez M. 2. Lizancos A. 36. Martinez I. 12. Miguel F. 23. Morante I.	15. Beltran L. 3. Copete J. 7. Danjuma A. 9. Duro H. 20. Foulquier D. 14. Gaya J. 32. Panach A. 18. Pepelu 11. Rioja L. 13. Rivero C. (G) 23. Ugrinic F.
Coaches
Ramis L.	Corberan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Rubo ⚽,
34', Lopez D. 🟨,
34', Cordoba A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bunuel A. ↓, Lizancos A. ↑,
46', Tarrega C. ↓, Copete J. ↑,
46', Gonzalez S. ↓, Atienza M. ↑,
50', 0 - 2, Sadiq U. ⚽, Ramazani L. (A),
60', Mejia M. ↓, Appin K. ↑,
60', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Cordoba I. ↑,
64', Almeida A. ↓, Rioja L. ↑,
64', Sadiq U. ↓, Duro H. ↑,
72', Mollejo V. 🟨,
73', Lopez D. ↓, Danjuma A. ↑,
78', Rubo 🟨,
81', Garcia F. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
82', Rubo ↓, Foulquier D. ↑,

Preview

Burgos is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Valencia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Valencia might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of Spanish Copa del Rey for now

Valencia: 1.7% Burgos CF: 0.46%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
10.01.26	Burgos - Eibar	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Córdoba - Burgos	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Burgos - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
18.12.25	Burgos - Getafe	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
14.12.25	Almería - Burgos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WLTWW
- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
10.01.26	Valencia - Elche	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Celta de Vigo - Valencia	4:1 ✺
19.12.25	Valencia - Mallorca	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.25	Sporting de Gijón - Valencia	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
13.12.25	Atlético Madrid - Valencia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLTWL

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