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Valencia - Elche: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • LaLiga - Round 19
  • Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday
  • Location: Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia)
  • Referee: Ortiz M. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Valencia Elche
    Valencia Elche
    1 X 2
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    (Initially)    		 2.15 ↓
    (2.2)    		 3.18 ↑
    (3.17)    		 3.67 ↑
    (3.54)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

    • The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Valencia
    44.2%    		Draw
    29.9%    		Elche
    25.9%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    43.2% 30% 26.8%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    43.9% 30.5% 26.4%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    81.1% 13.2% 5.7%

    Valencia - Elche Predictions

  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Valencia (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Elche (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Valencia will win (42 of 52 users predict this - 80.77%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.06% – 91.48%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Valencia will win (22 of 23 users predict this - 95.65%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Valencia (votes: 23 - 92%). Elche (votes: 1 - 4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. NorthDimitrievski S. (G)
    12. PortugalCorreia T.
      5. SpainTarrega C.
      3. SpainCopete J.
    14. SpainGaya J. (C)
    11. SpainRioja L.
    23. SwitzerlandUgrinic F.
    10. PortugalAlmeida A.
    18. SpainPepelu
    16. SpainLopez D.
    15. ArgentinaBeltran L.
    		  1. ArgentinaDituro M. (G)
    15. SpainNunez A.
    23. SpainChust V.
      6. SpainBigas P. (C)
    21. FrancePetrot L.
    11. SpainValera G.
    16. PortugalNeto M.
      8. SpainAguado M.
    14. SpainFebas A.
    20. SpainRodriguez A.
      7. SpainSantiago Y.
    Substitutes
    28. SpainAbril V. (G)
    24. SwitzerlandComert E.
      7. NetherlandsDanjuma A.
    20. GuadeloupeFoulquier D.
      8. SpainGuerra J.
    32. SpainPanach A.
    19. SpainRaba D.
    17. BelgiumRamazani L.
    13. SpainRivero C. (G)
      6. NigeriaSadiq U.
    22. FranceSantamaria B.
    21. SpainVazquez J.
    		22. AustriaAffengruber D.
    32. MoroccoBoayar A.
      4. SpainDiaby B.
    19. DRDiangana G.
    45. SpainIturbe A. (G)
    17. SpainJosan
    30. SpainMendoza R.
      3. SpainPedrosa A.
    13. SpainPena I. (G)
      5. ArgentinaRedondo Solari F.
    Coaches
         SpainCorberan C.
    		     SpainSarabia E.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 17', Correia T. ↓, Foulquier D. ↑,
    • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
    • 60', Bigas P. ↓, Affengruber D. ↑,
    • 60', Santiago Y. ↓, Boayar A. ↑,
    • 64', Nunez A. 🟨,
    • 65', Almeida A. ↓, Danjuma A. ↑,
    • 65', Beltran L. ↓, Sadiq U. ↑,
    • 73', Chust V. 🟨,
    • 74', Neto M. ↓, Diangana G. ↑,
    • 74', Nunez A. ↓, Pedrosa A. ↑,
    • 75', 0 - 1, Diangana G. ⚽, Pedrosa A. (A),
    • 77', Lopez D. ↓, Ramazani L. ↑,
    • 77', Ugrinic F. ↓, Guerra J. ↑,
    • 83', Febas A. ↓, Redondo Solari F. ↑,
    • 87', 1 - 1, Pepelu (Penalty Awarded),
    • 90+4', Pepelu 🟨,
    • 90+5', Pedrosa A. 🟨,
    • 90+5', Ramazani L. 🟨,

    Preview

  • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 9).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 4.
  • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
  • Valencia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
  • There will not play in Valencia: Agirrezabala J. (Muscle Injury) Diakhaby M. (Muscle Injury) Duro H. (Yellow Cards)
  • There will not play in Elche: Fort H. (Shoulder Injury) Mir R. (Muscle Injury)
  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.9:0.9).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Valencia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).

    • Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now
    Valencia: 0.31% Elche: 0.2%

    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    18Elche712411:17-65
    19Valencia71154:13-94

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - CF Valencia
    Spanish LaLiga
    03.01.26 Celta de Vigo - Valencia 4:1 ✺
    19.12.25 Valencia - Mallorca 1:1 ✺
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    16.12.25 Sporting de Gijón - Valencia 0:2 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    13.12.25 Atlético Madrid - Valencia 2:1 ✺
    07.12.25 Valencia - Sevilla 1:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5
    LTWLT
    - Elche CF
    Spanish LaLiga
    03.01.26 Elche - Villarreal 1:3 ✺
    21.12.25 Elche - Rayo Vallecano 4:0 ✺
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    16.12.25 Eibar - Elche 0:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    13.12.25 Mallorca - Elche 3:1 ✺
    07.12.25 Elche - Girona 3:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9
    LWWLW
    Latest Head to Head
    Spanish LaLiga
    23.04.23 Elche - Valencia 0:2
    15.10.22 Valencia - Elche 2:2
    19.03.22 Elche - Valencia 0:1
    11.12.21 Valencia - Elche 2:1
    30.01.21 Valencia - Elche 1:0
    23.10.20 Elche - Valencia 2:1
    20.03.15 Elche - Valencia 0:4
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - CF Valencia
    Spanish LaLiga
    11.10.26 Racing Santander - Valencia ✺
    - Elche CF
    Spanish LaLiga
    11.10.26 Elche - Celta de Vigo ✺

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