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Valencia - Rayo Vallecano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • LaLiga - Round 36
  • Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday
  • Location: Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Valencia Rayo Vallecano
    Valencia Rayo Vallecano
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 2.25 3 3.7 #Advertisement. Watch and Bet. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Watch
    betsson 2.28 3.05 3.55 Watch and Bet Watch
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.27 ↑
    (2.23)    		 3.05 ↓
    (3.41)    		 3.62 ↑
    (3.21)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

    • The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Valencia
    42.2%    		Draw
    31.4%    		Rayo Vallecano
    26.4%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    42.6% 27.8% 29.6%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    44.1% 28.8% 28.6%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    37.3% 47.5% 15.3%

    Valencia - Rayo Vallecano Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Valencia will win (votes: 21 - 36.8%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 9 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 27 - 47.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 34.4% – 60.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Valencia (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Valencia (1.56) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Rayo Vallecano (1.69) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - Valencia (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 2nd Half - draw (2.33) (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.07) (votes: 0 - 0%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Valencia (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Rayo Vallecano (votes: 3 - 25%). Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. NorthDimitrievski S. (G)
    20. ArgentinaRenzo Saravia
    24. SwitzerlandComert E.
      5. SpainTarrega C.
    14. SpainGaya J. (C)
    11. SpainRioja L.
    18. SpainPepelu
      2. ArgentinaRodriguez G.
    16. SpainLopez D.
      8. SpainGuerra J.
      9. SpainDuro H.
    		13. ArgentinaBatalla A. (G)
    20. AlbaniaBalliu I.
    24. FranceLejeune F.
    32. SenegalMendy N.
      3. SpainChavarria P.
    15. SpainGumbau G.
    23. SpainValentin O. (C)
    21. SpainPerez F.
      4. SpainDiaz P.
    22. UruguayPacha
    11. AngolaNteka R.
    Substitutes
    25. SpainAgirrezabala J. (G)
    10. PortugalAlmeida A.
      7. NetherlandsDanjuma A.
      4. SpainNunez U.
    19. SpainRaba D.
    17. BelgiumRamazani L.
    12. PortugalRendall T.
    26. SpainRubo
      6. NigeriaSadiq U.
    22. FranceSantamaria B.
    23. SwitzerlandUgrinic F.
    21. SpainVazquez J.
    		  9. BrazilAlemao
    10. SpainCamello S.
      1. SpainCardenas D. (G)
      6. SenegalCiss P.
    19. Spainde Frutos J.
    30. SpainGil J. (G)
    17. SpainLopez U.
    14. SpainMartin C.
    16. GhanaMumin A.
      2. RomaniaRatiu A.
      8. ArgentinaTrejo O.
    33. NetherlandsVertrouwd J.
    Coaches
         SpainCorberan C.
    		     SpainPerez I.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 1)
    • 6', Renzo Saravia 🟨,
    • 8', Nteka R. (Penalty Awarded),
    • 20', 0 - 1, Lejeune F. ⚽, Gumbau G. (A),
    • 32', Renzo Saravia ↓, Nunez U. ↑,
    • 40', 1 - 1, Lopez D. ⚽, Guerra J. (A),
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 56', Nteka R. 🟨,
    • 60', Nteka R. ↓, Alemao ↑,
    • 60', Perez F. ↓, de Frutos J. ↑,
    • 61', Valentin O. ↓, Ciss P. ↑,
    • 61', Guerra J. ↓, Ramazani L. ↑,
    • 61', Duro H. ↓, Sadiq U. ↑,
    • 61', Pepelu ↓, Ugrinic F. ↑,
    • 63', Gaya J. ↓, Vazquez J. ↑,
    • 67', Gumbau G. ↓, Lopez U. ↑,
    • 73', Balliu I. ↓, Ratiu A. ↑,

    Preview

  • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 11).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 1.
  • Valencia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Rayo Vallecano is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
  • Valencia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • Valencia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
  • There will not play in Valencia: Copete J. (Ankle Injury) Diakhaby M. (Muscle Injury) Foulquier D. (Knee Injury)
  • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Akhomach I. (Muscle Injury) Luiz Felipe (Injury) Mendez D. (Knee Injury) Palazon I. (Red Card)
  • There are questionable in Valencia: Beltran L. (Knee Injury) Rendall T. (Muscle Injury)
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 6 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 1.4:1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Valencia won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 1.7:1).

    • Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now
    Valencia: 0.31% Rayo Vallecano: 0.29%

    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    12Rayo Vallecano722311:16-58
    19Valencia71154:13-94

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - CF Valencia
    Spanish LaLiga
    10.05.26 Athletic Bilbao - Valencia 0:1 ✺
    02.05.26 Valencia - Atlético Madrid 0:2 ✺
    25.04.26 Valencia - Girona 2:1 ✺
    21.04.26 Mallorca - Valencia 1:1 ✺
    11.04.26 Elche - Valencia 1:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4
    WLWTL
    - Rayo Vallecano
    Spanish LaLiga
    11.05.26 Rayo Vallecano - Girona 1:1 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League
    07.05.26 Strasbourg - Rayo Vallecano 0:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    03.05.26 Getafe - Rayo Vallecano 0:2 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League
    30.04.26 Rayo Vallecano - Strasbourg 1:0 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    26.04.26 Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad 3:3 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8
    TWWWT
    Latest Head to Head
    Spanish LaLiga
    01.12.25 Rayo Vallecano - Valencia 1:1
    19.04.25 Rayo Vallecano - Valencia 1:1
    07.12.24 Valencia - Rayo Vallecano 0:1
    12.05.24 Valencia - Rayo Vallecano 0:0
    19.12.23 Rayo Vallecano - Valencia 0:1
    03.04.23 Valencia - Rayo Vallecano 1:1
    10.09.22 Rayo Vallecano - Valencia 2:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - CF Valencia
    Spanish LaLiga
    11.10.26 Racing Santander - Valencia ✺
    - Rayo Vallecano
    Spanish LaLiga
    10.10.26 Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao ✺

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