Match Info

LaLiga - Round 32

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas (Madrid)

Referee: Guzman J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 3
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Canal 5, Izzi TV, ViX Premium
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab


	Rayo Vallecano		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.2	2.55	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.65
	2.92	3.35	2.42
	2.9	3.46	2.56
	2.83	3.43	2.49	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.5
	2.95	3.45	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.44)	3.33 ↓ (3.63)	2.54 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano
33.6%

Draw
28.7%

Real Sociedad
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

26.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

26.1%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rayo Vallecano's form might have worsened.

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayo Vallecano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.1%	35.7%	32.1%

Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 9 - 32.1%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 9 - 32.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 18% – 53.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Rayo Vallecano (1.93) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 1 - 50%). Real Sociedad (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cardenas D. (G) 2. Ratiu A. 24. Lejeune F. 32. Mendy N. 3. Chavarria P. 7. Palazon I. (C) 6. Ciss P. 17. Lopez U. 12. Akhomach I. 10. Camello S. 14. Martin C.	1. Remiro A. (G) 2. Aramburu J. 31. Martin J. 16. Caleta-Car D. 17. Gomez S. 14. Kubo T. 18. Soler C. 8. Turrientes B. 7. Barrenetxea A. 9. Oskarsson O. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C)
Substitutes
9. Alemao 20. Balliu I. 19. de Frutos J. 4. Diaz P. 30. Gil J. (G) 15. Gumbau G. 16. Mumin A. 22. Pacha 21. Perez F. 8. Trejo O. 23. Valentin O. 33. Vertrouwd J.	38. Beitia L. 6. Elustondo A. 32. Fraga A. (G) 4. Gorrotxategi J. 12. Herrera Y. 15. Marin P. 13. Marrero U. (G) 23. Mendez B. 3. Munoz A. 24. Sucic L. 22. Wesley 21. Zakharyan A.
Coaches
Perez I.	Matarazzo P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Oyarzabal M. ⚽, Barrenetxea A. (A),
29', Palazon I. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Camello S. ⚽,
45+1', Gomez S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
49', Ciss P. 🟨,
56', Kubo T. ↓, Sucic L. ↑,
56', Barrenetxea A. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
56', Oskarsson O. 🟨,
63', 1 - 2, Oskarsson O. ⚽, Gomez S. (A),
64', Martin C. ↓, Diaz P. ↑,
64', Camello S. ↓, de Frutos J. ↑,
64', Mendy N. ↓, Alemao ↑,
67', Oskarsson O. ↓, Gorrotxategi J. ↑,
67', Turrientes B. ↓, Herrera Y. ↑,
68', Palazon I. ↓, Gumbau G. ↑,
75', Ratiu A. 🟨,
76', 1 - 3, Oyarzabal M. (Penalty Awarded),
82', Lopez U. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
84', 2 - 3, Lejeune F. ⚽, Akhomach I. (A),
90+1', Gomez S. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
90+7', Soler C. 🟨,
90+7', Lejeune F. 🟨,
90+9', 3 - 3, Alemao ⚽, Diaz P. (A),
90+10', Alemao 🟨,
90+13', Palazon I. 🟥,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Real Sociedad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Batalla A. (Yellow Cards) Luiz Felipe (Injury) Mendez D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Guedes G. (Toe Injury) Karrikaburu J. (Ankle Injury) Odriozola A. (Knee Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury) Zubeldia I. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Garcia A. (Muscle Injury) Nteka R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Real Sociedad: Elustondo A. (Head Injury) Herrera Y. (Injury) Sucic L. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Vallecano won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.4:1.7).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Real Sociedad: 0.42% Rayo Vallecano: 0.29%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9:13	-4	10
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11:16	-5	8

Last Results with these Odds

Rayo Vallecano - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.97%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Real Sociedad - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 34.83%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga
23.04.26	Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.04.26	AEK Athens - Rayo Vallecano	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
12.04.26	Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.04.26	Rayo Vallecano - AEK Athens	3:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
03.04.26	Rayo Vallecano - Elche	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLWW
- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
22.04.26	Real Sociedad - Getafe	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
18.04.26	Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad	2:3 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga
11.04.26	Real Sociedad - Deportivo Alavés	3:3 ✺
04.04.26	Real Sociedad - Levante	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Villarreal - Real Sociedad	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
05.10.25	Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano	0:1
16.03.25	Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad	2:2
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.01.25	Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano	3:1
Spanish LaLiga
18.08.24	Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano	1:2
27.01.24	Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano	0:0
29.10.23	Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad	2:2
22.04.23	Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano	2:1

Upcoming Matches