Match Info

Conference League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas (Madrid) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Rumsas D. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, Q Football Asia
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 4P
Bulgaria	22:00	Ring, Voyo
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
China	03:00	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech Republic	21:00	Sport 3
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	19:00	SÝN Sport 2, Viaplay
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Canal+, Canal+ Zat Lenn
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mongolia	03:00	Premier Sports 4
Myanmar	01:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 5
New Zealand	07:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport 3
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Extra 2
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	04:00	SPOTV Now
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 1
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 5
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+
Vietnam	02:00	ON Plus


	Rayo Vallecano		Strasbourg

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.5
	2.15	3.25	3.1
	2.08	3.35	3.7
	2.12	3.5	3.75
	2.11	3.56	3.62	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.4
	2.11	3.45	3.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.07)	3.37 ↓ (3.41)	3.54 ↓ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano
45.1%

Draw
28.1%

Strasbourg
26.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.4%

28.2%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

28.2%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.3%	17.4%	28.3%

Rayo Vallecano - Strasbourg Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 25 - 55.6%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 12 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 17.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 41.1% – 70.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Strasbourg (3.54) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 2 - 50%). Strasbourg (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Batalla A. (G) 2. Ratiu A. 24. Lejeune F. 6. Ciss P. 3. Chavarria P. 17. Lopez U. 23. Valentin O. (C) 19. de Frutos J. 7. Palazon I. 12. Akhomach I. 9. Alemao	39. Penders M. (G) 24. Hogsberg L. 2. Omobamidele A. 6. Doukoure I. 3. Chilwell B. 29. El Mourabet S. 42. Ouattara A. 7. Moreira D. 19. Enciso J. 20. Godo M. 10. Emegha E. (C)
Substitutes
20. Balliu I. 10. Camello S. 1. Cardenas D. (G) 4. Diaz P. 15. Gumbau G. 32. Mendy N. 30. Molina A. (G) 22. Pacha 8. Trejo O.	27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 17. Amougou M. 43. Becker Y. 38. Bosey J. 1. Johnsson K. (G) 60. Kerckaert G. (G) 37. Kodia G. 83. Luis R. 11. Nanasi S. 8. Oyedele M. 80. Yassine G.
Coaches
Perez I.	O'Neil G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', El Mourabet S. 🟨,
38', Ciss P. 🟨,
45+6', Emegha E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Alemao ⚽, Palazon I. (A),
64', Alemao ↓, Diaz P. ↑,
67', Godo M. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
74', Akhomach I. 🟨,
74', Chilwell B. 🟨,
76', Lejeune F. 🟨,
78', Moreira D. 🟨,
82', Cardenas D. 🟨,
84', Emegha E. ↓, Nanasi S. ↑,
88', Palazon I. ↓, Camello S. ↑,
89', de Frutos J. ↓, Pacha ↑,
90+4', Lopez U. ↓, Gumbau G. ↑,
90+5', El Mourabet S. ↓, Oyedele M. ↑,
90+7', Oyedele M. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Strasbourg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rayo Vallecano could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Garcia A. (Muscle Injury) Luiz Felipe (Injury) Martin C. (Inactive) Mendez D. (Knee Injury) Mumin A. (Inactive) Nteka R. (Injury) Perez F. (Inactive) Vertrouwd J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Strasbourg: Anselmino A. (Knee Injury) Barco V. (Yellow Cards) Mwanga J. (Inactive) Panichelli J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Strasbourg: Doue G. (Inactive)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga
26.04.26	Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad	3:3 ✺
23.04.26	Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.04.26	AEK Athens - Rayo Vallecano	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
12.04.26	Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.04.26	Rayo Vallecano - AEK Athens	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWLLW
- RC Strasbourg
French Ligue 1
26.04.26	Lorient - Strasbourg	2:3 ✺
Coupe De France
22.04.26	Strasbourg - Nice	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
19.04.26	Strasbourg - Rennes	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.04.26	Strasbourg - Mainz	4:0 ✺
09.04.26	Mainz - Strasbourg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLWL

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