Match Info

Conference League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Stade de la Meinau (Strasbourg)

Referee: Kruzliak I. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 4
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Denmark	Disney+
France	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free
Germany	RTL+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 3
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Canal+, Canal+ Zat Lenn
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Claro Sports
Mongolia	Premier Sports 4
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 5
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2, V Sport 3
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 2
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True ID, True Premier Football 5
Turkey	Tabii Spor 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 5
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Strasbourg		Rayo Vallecano

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	4
	1.95	3.75	3.75
	1.98	3.8	3.92
	1.93	3.78	3.88	Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.75
	1.95	3.79	3.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.02)	3.7 ↑ (3.53)	3.87 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Strasbourg
49.5%

Draw
25.8%

Rayo Vallecano
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

26.9%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

27.2%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.9%	9.4%	22.6%

Strasbourg - Rayo Vallecano Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 36 - 69.2%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 11 - 21.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 9.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 56.7% – 81.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Rayo Vallecano (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Rayo Vallecano (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Rayo Vallecano (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 1 - 20%). Rayo Vallecano (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Penders M. (G) 22. Doue G. 2. Omobamidele A. 6. Doukoure I. (C) 3. Chilwell B. 29. El Mourabet S. 32. Barco V. 7. Moreira D. 42. Ouattara A. 20. Godo M. 19. Enciso J.	13. Batalla A. (G) 2. Ratiu A. 24. Lejeune F. 6. Ciss P. 3. Chavarria P. 17. Lopez U. 23. Valentin O. (C) 19. de Frutos J. 7. Palazon I. 22. Pacha 9. Alemao
Substitutes
27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 17. Amougou M. 43. Becker Y. 38. Bosey J. 24. Hogsberg L. 1. Johnsson K. (G) 60. Kerckaert G. (G) 37. Kodia G. 83. Luis R. 11. Nanasi S. 8. Oyedele M. 80. Yassine G.	20. Balliu I. 10. Camello S. 1. Cardenas D. (G) 4. Diaz P. 18. Garcia A. 15. Gumbau G. 32. Mendy N. 30. Molina A. (G) 8. Trejo O.
Coaches
O'Neil G.	Perez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Chilwell B. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Alemao ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Chilwell B. ↓, Nanasi S. ↑,
65', Alemao ↓, Camello S. ↑,
67', El Mourabet S. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
78', Palazon I. ↓, Diaz P. ↑,
78', de Frutos J. ↓, Balliu I. ↑,
80', Moreira D. 🟨,
85', Pacha ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
86', Lopez U. 🟨,
86', Lopez U. ↓, Gumbau G. ↑,
86', Valentin O. 🟨,
88', Batalla A. 🟨,
90+4', Enciso J. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg result: 0-1.

Strasbourg has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rayo Vallecano is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Strasbourg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Strasbourg is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Strasbourg: Anselmino A. (Knee Injury) Mwanga J. (Inactive) Panichelli J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Luiz Felipe (Injury) Martin C. (Inactive) Mendez D. (Knee Injury) Mumin A. (Inactive) Nteka R. (Inactive) Perez F. (Inactive) Vertrouwd J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Strasbourg: Emegha E. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Garcia A. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Strasbourg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Strasbourg - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 47.04%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Strasbourg
French Ligue 1
03.05.26	Strasbourg - Toulouse	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.04.26	Rayo Vallecano - Strasbourg	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
26.04.26	Lorient - Strasbourg	2:3 ✺
Coupe De France
22.04.26	Strasbourg - Nice	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
19.04.26	Strasbourg - Rennes	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLL
- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga
03.05.26	Getafe - Rayo Vallecano	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.04.26	Rayo Vallecano - Strasbourg	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
26.04.26	Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad	3:3 ✺
23.04.26	Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.04.26	AEK Athens - Rayo Vallecano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
30.04.26	Rayo Vallecano - Strasbourg	1:0

Upcoming Matches