Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 33

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio José Zorrilla (Valladolid)

Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium 2, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Valladolid		Cádiz

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.33	6.25	Watch
	1.5	4.15	5.9	Watch
	1.51	4.3	6.99
	1.52	4.27	6.28	Watch
	1.5	3.9	6
	1.53	4.35	5.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.72)	4.22 ↑ (3.93)	6.23 ↑ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid
62.6%

Draw
22.3%

Cádiz
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

24.1%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

23.9%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valladolid's performance.

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cádiz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valladolid that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cádiz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	11.8%	0%

Valladolid - Cádiz Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Valladolid (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Valladolid will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Valladolid (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aceves A. (G) 14. Alejo I. 15. Tomeo P. 4. Torres D. 18. Clerc C. 24. Juric S. (C) 21. Ponceau J. 22. Peter Federico 20. Chuki 17. Biuk S. 9. Latasa J.	13. Aznar V. (G) 29. Caicedo A. 14. Kovacevic B. 38. Arribas S. 33. Pereira R. 8. Fernandez A. (C) 24. Gonzalez J. 19. de la Rosa J. 11. Suso 10. Ocampo B. 17. Camara D.
Substitutes
7. Canos S. 26. de Pablo A. (G) 25. Erlien V. 23. Jaouab M. 6. Lachuer M. 10. Marcos Andre 5. Martinez R. 8. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 2. Michelin C. 30. Modesto H. 39. Ohio N. 19. Sanseviero L.	20. Carcelen I. 16. Cordero A. 18. Diarra Y. 34. Diaz Peregrina J. 37. Domina J. 27. Fernandez P. 1. Gil D. (G) 3. Kouame R. 9. Marti R. 2. Moreno J. 15. Ortuno S. 23. Pascual A.
Coaches
Escriba F.	Sergio

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Chuki ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Camara D. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kovacevic B. ↓, Fernandez P. ↑,
46', Ocampo B. ↓, Marti R. ↑,
46', Fernandez A. ↓, Kouame R. ↑,
70', de la Rosa J. ↓, Cordero A. ↑,
71', Alejo I. ↓, Michelin C. ↑,
72', Peter Federico ↓, Sanseviero L. ↑,
75', 3 - 0, Chuki ⚽, Sanseviero L. (A),
79', Arribas S. ↓, Diarra Y. ↑,
82', Suso 🟨,
83', Latasa J. ↓, Marcos Andre ↑,
83', Chuki ↓, Meseguer Cavas V. A. ↑,
87', Ponceau J. ↓, Lachuer M. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 0.

In recent matches, Valladolid has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cádiz is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Valladolid is the team to beat.

There will not play in Valladolid: Bueno G. (Knee Injury) Garriel I. (Knee Injury) Guilherme Fernandes (Muscle Injury) Marcos Andre (Knee Injury) Ndiaye A. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Cádiz: Climent M. (Injury) Diakite M. (International duty) Ontiveros J. (Heel Injury) Recio I. (Yellow Cards) Tabatadze I. (Knee Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.4:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Valladolid won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Valladolid	8	2	3	3	8:11	-3	9
19	Cadiz CF	8	1	4	3	11:10	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
28.03.26	Valladolid - Burgos	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Mirandés - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Valladolid - Leganés	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Málaga - Valladolid	3:3 ✺
28.02.26	Valladolid - Huesca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWTW
- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga2
28.03.26	Ceuta - Cádiz	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Cádiz - Málaga	0:3 ✺
13.03.26	Mirandés - Cádiz	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Cádiz - Zaragoza	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Eibar - Cádiz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
09.11.25	Cádiz - Valladolid	0:0
Spanish LaLiga
19.05.23	Cádiz - Valladolid	2:0
16.09.22	Valladolid - Cádiz	0:1
24.04.21	Valladolid - Cádiz	1:1
29.12.20	Cádiz - Valladolid	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
28.04.18	Valladolid - Cádiz	1:1
25.11.17	Cádiz - Valladolid	1:0

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