Match Info

MALTA: Challenge League - Round 6

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Valletta		Fgura United

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.75	8
	1.29	4.8	8.4	Watch
	1.25	4.51	8.28
	1.32	4.82	7.98	Watch
	1.32	4.6	8.1
	1.29	4.8	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.49)	4.71 ↑ (3.93)	8.19 ↑ (5.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valletta
69.8%

Draw
19.2%

Fgura United
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

23.1%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

21.6%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valletta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valletta's performance.

Fgura United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valletta than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fgura United than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Valletta - Fgura United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aquilina T. (G) 11. Azzopardi J. 5. Cassar Z. 9. Ciolacu A. 22. Friggieri A. 28. MacKay S. 4. Micallef N. 2. Mushagalusa E. 10. Paiber B. (C) 6. Ruiz E. 33. Scicluna J.	1. Cini Y. (G) 4. Abdelghani H. 12. Brincat M. 7. Caruana D. (C) 21. Formosa K. 22. Gambin M. 28. Gatt M. 33. Marshall A. N. 45. Tabone M. 5. Xuereb A. 99. Zammit G.
Substitutes
17. Barbara Z. 15. Ewurum K. 13. Frendo L. (G) 14. Gauci C. 16. Jeferson 30. Lapira P. 20. Tabone N. 8. Vukovic D. 25. Xuereb P.	8. Buhagiar S. 25. Formosa R. 11. Licari K. 3. Pisani L. 13. Stensen J. 20. Tabone A. 15. Vella J. R. 14. Vella R. (G) 16. Zammit M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Zammit G. ↓, Buhagiar S. ↑,
34', 1 - 0, Friggieri A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', Friggieri A. ↓, Xuereb P. ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Azzopardi J. ⚽,
59', Buhagiar S. 🟨,
60', Brincat M. ↓, Zammit M. ↑,
76', Caruana D. 🟨,
81', Abdelghani H. 🟨,
83', Ciolacu A. ↓, Jeferson ↑,
84', Cini Y. ↓, Vella R. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 0, Scicluna J. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valletta FC
Maltese Challenge League
26.10.24	Tarxien Rainbows - Valletta	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Valletta - Santa Lucia	3:0 ✺
28.09.24	Żurrieq - Valletta	0:1 ✺
22.09.24	Valletta - Lija Athletic	6:0 ✺
14.09.24	Sirens - Valletta	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWWW
- Fgura United
Maltese Challenge League
26.10.24	Fgura United - Pietà Hotspurs	1:2 ✺
20.10.24	Swieqi United - Fgura United	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	Fgura United - Marsa	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Mtarfa - Fgura United	1:2 ✺
14.09.24	Fgura United - St. Andrews	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLWL

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