Match Info

Championship - Semi-finals

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: BC Place (Vancouver, BC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	Amazon Prime Video, OneSoccer
Usa	Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com


	Vancouver Whitecaps		Forge

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.33	6
	1.55	4.05	4.55
	1.55	4.09	5.53	Watch
	1.64	4.53	4.18
	1.6	3.66	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.41)	4.13 ↑ (4.03)	5 ↓ (6.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vancouver Whitecaps
59.4%

Draw
22.2%

Forge
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

22.4%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

21.9%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vancouver Whitecaps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Forge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Forge's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver Whitecaps than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vancouver Whitecaps, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forge than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Forge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vancouver Whitecaps - Forge Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Forge (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Boehmer I. (G) 18. Ocampo E. 12. Halbouni B. 33. Blackmon T. 28. Johnson T. 16. Berhalter S. (C) 59. Badwal J. 22. Ahmed A. 26. Ngando J. 7. Nelson J. 14. Rios D.	1. Koleilat J. (G) 24. Rama R. 5. Nimick D. 13. Achinioti-Jonsson A. 3. Jevremovic M. 21. Hojabrpour A. 10. Bekker K. (C) 19. Borges T. 18. Babouli M. 11. Ampomah N. 9. Wright B.
Substitutes
27. Bovalina G. 17. Cabrera Nakamura K. G. 20. Cubas A. 75. Elloumi R. 2. Laborda M. 13. Muller T. 6. Priso-Mbongue R. 11. Sabbi E. 1. Takaoka Y. (G)	36. Bontis D. (G) 32. Bruno Z. 7. Choiniere D. 8. Cisse E. 50. Klonaridis V. . Liatifis C. 28. Lipovschek K. 17. Massunda H. 6. Paton B.
Coaches
Sorensen J.	Smyrniotis B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Blackmon T. ⚽, Berhalter S. (A),
18', Badwal J. 🟨,
26', Rama R. 🟨,
28', 2 - 0, Ngando J. ⚽, Ahmed A. (A),
34', Hojabrpour A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Badwal J. ↓, Cubas A. ↑,
46', Wright B. ↓, Massunda H. ↑,
48', Jevremovic M. 🟨,
49', 3 - 0, Berhalter S. (Pen),
60', Bekker K. ↓, Cisse E. ↑,
60', Borges T. ↓, Klonaridis V. ↑,
60', Nimick D. ↓, Paton B. ↑,
63', Rios D. ↓, Elloumi R. ↑,
63', Ahmed A. ↓, Cabrera Nakamura K. G. ↑,
72', Ampomah N. ↓, Choiniere D. ↑,
76', Berhalter S. ↓, Priso-Mbongue R. ↑,
80', Cabrera Nakamura K. G. 🟨,
83', Blackmon T. ↓, Laborda M. ↑,
85', 4 - 0, Nelson J. ⚽, Elloumi R. (A),

Preview

1st leg result: 2-2. 2nd leg.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Vancouver may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vancouver is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vancouver won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vancouver Whitecaps
MLS
13.09.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - Philadelphia Union	7:0 ✺
23.08.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - St. Louis City	3:2 ✺
17.08.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - Houston Dynamo	1:1 ✺
Canadian Championship
13.08.25	Forge - Vancouver Whitecaps	2:2 ✺
MLS
09.08.25	San Jose Earthquakes - Vancouver Whitecaps	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWTTL
- Forge FC
Canadian Premier League
11.09.25	Valour - Forge	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Forge - HFX Wanderers	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Cavalry - Forge	4:1 ✺
22.08.25	Vancouver FC - Forge	0:1 ✺
17.08.25	Forge - Atlético Ottawa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Canadian Championship
13.08.25	Forge - Vancouver Whitecaps	2:2

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