Match Info

HNL - Round 6

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion Varteks (Varaždin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Croatia	MAX Sport 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Varaždin		Istra 1961

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4
	1.80	3.60	4.10
	1.78	3.45	4.1
	1.84	3.62	4.48
	1.8	3.66	4.24	Watch
	1.82	3.45	4.4
	1.86	3.6	4.24	Watch
	1.77	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.74)	3.54 ↓ (3.9)	4.2 ↑ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varaždin
51.6%

Draw
26.3%

Istra 1961
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

24%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

23.3%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Istra 1961 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Varaždin - Istra 1961 Predictions

Users Predictions: Varaždin will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Silic J. (G) 23. Maglica F. 13. Mladenovski M. 16. Tepsic N. 20. Sikosek G. 28. Canjuga I. 24. Marina M. (C) 10. Latkovic A. 22. Mamic L. 38. Tavares I. 9. Juric S.	1. Kolic F. (C) 44. Hrvatin R. 4. Kumar R. 16. Miettinen S. 13. Sepic N. 88. Doumbia D. 25. Albarracin G. 22. Frederiksen E. 20. Ahmeti D. 7. Rozic V. 94. Jaganjac H.
Substitutes
44. Barac M. 12. Bockaj P. 3. Durakovic E. 8. Duvnjak T. 15. Ilinkovic S. 5. Lesjak S. 1. McCrorie R. (G) 21. Posavec I. 30. Posinkovic L. 4. Skaricic L. 11. Uchegbu E. 7. Vuk M.	27. Celija D. 11. Gorican S. 9. Isaac 34. Kablar M. 97. Kadusic A. 8. Mauric A. 66. Momoh M. 3. Nasraoui M. 40. Paus-Kunst J. (G) 30. Skafar Zuzic N. 23. Ukich S.
Coaches
Safaric N.	Cabello J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Ahmeti D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Juric S. 🟨,
57', Juric S. ↓, Vuk M. ↑,
61', Frederiksen E. ↓, Isaac ↑,
61', Rozic V. ↓, Skafar Zuzic N. ↑,
73', Ahmeti D. ↓, Gorican S. ↑,
73', Tavares I. ↓, Uchegbu E. ↑,
76', Hrvatin R. 🟨,
79', Sikosek G. 🟨,
79', Maglica F. 🟨,
82', Marina M. ↓, Duvnjak T. ↑,
82', Sikosek G. ↓, Durakovic E. ↑,
85', Hrvatin R. ↓, Kadusic A. ↑,
86', Doumbia D. ↓, Mauric A. ↑,
90+1', Jaganjac H. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 1.

Varaždin is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Istra 1961 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Varaždin is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Istra 1961: Momoh M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Varaždin: Puncec R. (Inactive)

We predict that Varaždin will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Varaždin won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.2:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Varazdin	8	4	3	1	13:7	6	15
6	Istra 1961	9	3	3	3	17:14	3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Varaždin
Croatian HNL
29.08.26	Varaždin - Rudeš	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Varaždin	3:1 ✺
16.08.26	Varaždin - Rijeka	2:0 ✺
09.08.26	Slaven Belupo - Varaždin	1:4 ✺
02.08.26	Varaždin - Hajduk Split	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WLWWW
- Istra 1961
Croatian HNL
29.08.26	Istra 1961 - Dinamo Zagreb	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	Rijeka - Istra 1961	3:2 ✺
15.08.26	Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo	3:0 ✺
09.08.26	Hajduk Split - Istra 1961	2:2 ✺
01.08.26	Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
23.05.26	Varaždin - Istra 1961	2:0
20.03.26	Istra 1961 - Varaždin	2:1
19.12.25	Varaždin - Istra 1961	1:3
03.10.25	Istra 1961 - Varaždin	1:0
11.05.25	Istra 1961 - Varaždin	0:0
08.03.25	Varaždin - Istra 1961	0:0
07.12.24	Istra 1961 - Varaždin	0:0

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