Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Gradski stadion Varazdin (Varaždin)

Referee: Cibelli L. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV1


	Varaždin		Santa Clara

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.1	1.91	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.15	Watch
	4	3.1	2	Watch
	4.04	3.05	2.02
				Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.15
	4.09	3.17	2.08	Watch
	2.76	2.98	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (2.64)	3.09 ↑ (2.94)	2.16 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Varaždin
25.9%

Draw
30.5%

Santa Clara
43.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36%

32.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varaždin's form might have worsened.

Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santa Clara's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	31.8%	50%

Varaždin - Santa Clara Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Varaždin will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Santa Clara will win (votes: 11 - 55%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Clara: 33.2% – 76.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Clara (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.73) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

BTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zelenika O. (C) 3. Jovanov V. 5. Ba L. 44. Barac M. 25. Borsic A. 24. Marina M. 8. Duvnjak T. 12. Bockaj P. 10. Belcar L. 7. Vuk M. 17. Mamut I.	1. Gabriel Batista (C) 42. Lucas Soares 23. Sidney Lima 13. Rocha L. 32. Araujo M. 3. Matheus Pereira 70. Vinicius Lopes 6. Adriano Firmino 8. Ferreira P. 10. Gabriel Silva 9. Carter A.
Substitutes
11. Antunovic M. 9. Dabro M. 27. Latkovic A. 2. Lesjak S. 13. Mladenovski M. 21. Novak T. (G) 14. Sierra J. 33. Silic J. (G) 4. Skaricic L. 38. Tavares I. 16. Tepsic N.	50. Afonso J. (G) 11. Brenner 17. Costa J. 12. Neneca (G) 64. Paulo Victor 77. Pereira H. 16. Pires M. 35. Serginho 21. Venancio F. 29. Wendell
Coaches
Safaric N.	Matos V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Mamut I. (Pen),
25', Jovanov V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 1, Adriano Firmino ⚽,
64', Bockaj P. ↓, Latkovic A. ↑,
64', Marina M. ↓, Sierra J. ↑,
64', Carter A. ↓, Wendell ↑,
64', Ferreira P. ↓, Serginho ↑,
73', Araujo M. ↓, Venancio F. ↑,
77', Mamut I. ↓, Dabro M. ↑,
77', Vuk M. ↓, Skaricic L. ↑,
84', Sidney Lima 🟨,
85', 2 - 1, Dabro M. ⚽,
86', Belcar L. ↓, Tavares I. ↑,
89', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
90+1', Matheus Pereira ↓, Paulo Victor ↑,
90+1', Sidney Lima ↓, Pires M. ↑,
90+3', Adriano Firmino 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Varaždin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Santa Clara will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Varaždin
Club Friendly
17.07.25	Varaždin - Zorya Luhansk	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Sarajevo - Varaždin	1:2 ✺
11.07.25	Aluminij Kidricevo - Varaždin	0:2 ✺
Croatian HNL
25.05.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Varaždin	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Varaždin - Osijek	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLW
- CD Santa Clara
Liga Portugal
17.05.25	Farense - Santa Clara	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Santa Clara - Famalicão	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Braga - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Santa Clara - Arouca	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Rio Ave - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWTWT

Upcoming Matches