Match Info

ECUADOR: Serie B - Round 32

Date: 4 October 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Folke Anderson (Esmeraldas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
World	Fanatiz


	Vargas Torres		Vinotinto

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	2.7	2.6
	2.75	2.8	2.6	Watch
	2.87	2.7	2.9
	2.85	2.75	2.85	Watch
	2.75	2.88	2.5
	2.7	2.77	2.64	Watch
	2.75	2.8	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (3.2)	2.77 ↓ (2.81)	2.67 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vargas Torres
33%

Draw
32.9%

Vinotinto
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

32.7%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

31%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vargas Torres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vargas Torres than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vargas Torres that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vinotinto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Vargas Torres - Vinotinto Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vargas Torres will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Vinotinto will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, Monti Azpiazu R. ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, Lopez S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
62', 0 - 3, Ushina K. ⚽,
67', 0 - 4, Lugo J. ⚽,
71', 1 - 4, ⚽,
90', 1 - 5, Lugo J. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSD Vargas Torres
Ecuadorian Serie B
26.09.24	9 de Octubre - Vargas Torres	0:0 ✺
19.09.24	Vargas Torres - Guayaquil City	1:1 ✺
12.09.24	Leones del Norte - Vargas Torres	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	Gualaceo - Vargas Torres	1:0 ✺
05.09.24	Vargas Torres - Manta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TTTLT
- Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuadorian Serie B
29.09.24	Vinotinto - Guayaquil City	0:1 ✺
18.09.24	Gualaceo - Vinotinto	1:0 ✺
12.09.24	Vinotinto - San Antonio	0:0 ✺
08.09.24	Manta - Vinotinto	1:0 ✺
04.09.24	Vinotinto - Chacaritas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
16.08.24	Vinotinto - Vargas Torres	2:0
08.06.24	Vargas Torres - Vinotinto	0:1
16.04.24	Vinotinto - Vargas Torres	2:1
27.09.23	Vinotinto - Vargas Torres	5:2
09.08.23	Vargas Torres - Vinotinto	1:1
13.06.23	Vargas Torres - Vinotinto	0:0
19.04.23	Vinotinto - Vargas Torres	0:0

Vargas Torres - Vinotinto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide