Match Info

ECUADOR: Serie B - Round 31

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday


	Vinotinto		Guayaquil City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.8	3.1	4.1
	1.81	3.15	4.4	Watch
	1.88	3.06	4.68
	2.02	3.13	4	Watch
	1.83	3.2	3.8
	1.78	3.2	4.48
	1.81	3.15	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.02)	3.14 ↑ (3)	4.27 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vinotinto
49.5%

Draw
29.1%

Guayaquil City
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

30.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

30.5%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Guayaquil City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Vinotinto - Guayaquil City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Bolanos M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuadorian Serie B
18.09.24	Gualaceo - Vinotinto	1:0 ✺
12.09.24	Vinotinto - San Antonio	0:0 ✺
08.09.24	Manta - Vinotinto	1:0 ✺
04.09.24	Vinotinto - Chacaritas	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	9 de Octubre - Vinotinto	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLWL
- Guayaquil City FC
Ecuadorian Copa
24.09.24	Guayaquil City - Independiente del Valle	1:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
19.09.24	Vargas Torres - Guayaquil City	1:1 ✺
13.09.24	Guayaquil City - Gualaceo	3:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
07.09.24	Guayaquil City - Delfín	3:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
04.09.24	Guayaquil City - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
08.08.24	Guayaquil City - Vinotinto	2:2
27.06.24	Vinotinto - Guayaquil City	1:0
08.05.24	Guayaquil City - Vinotinto	0:2

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