Match Info

Date: 22 May 2021, Saturday


	Varzim		Oliveirense

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.5	5	Watch
	1.7	3.4	4.6
	1.7	3.3	4.7
	1.73	3.4	4.9
	1.78	3.42	5.46
	1.78	3.5	4.33
	1.75	3.5	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.08)	3.43 ↑ (3.25)	4.8 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varzim
53.5%

Draw
27.1%

Oliveirense
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

28.8%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

22.1%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varzim's performance.

Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oliveirense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.7%	9.7%	22.6%

Varzim - Oliveirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Varzim will win (votes: 21 - 67.7%). Oliveirense will win (votes: 7 - 22.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Varzim: 51.2% – 84.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Varzim is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Oliveirense is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oliveirense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Varzim will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Varzim won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 2-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Varzim won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varzim SC
Portuguese Liga 2
16.05.21	Casa Pia - Varzim	3:0 ✺
09.05.21	Varzim - Penafiel	1:2 ✺
03.05.21	Vilafranquense - Varzim	1:3 ✺
24.04.21	Varzim - Vizela	0:3 ✺
17.04.21	Feirense - Varzim	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLL
- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
14.05.21	Oliveirense - Académico de Viseu	2:1 ✺
08.05.21	Feirense - Oliveirense	4:1 ✺
02.05.21	Oliveirense - Benfica B	0:2 ✺
25.04.21	Cova De Piedade - Oliveirense	0:0 ✺
18.04.21	Oliveirense - Mafra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
22.01.21	Oliveirense - Varzim	1:1
26.01.20	Oliveirense - Varzim	4:0
10.08.19	Varzim - Oliveirense	0:0
17.03.19	Varzim - Oliveirense	1:1
12.11.18	Oliveirense - Varzim	3:0
10.03.18	Oliveirense - Varzim	0:0
30.09.17	Varzim - Oliveirense	0:1

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