Match Info

Taça de Portugal - 1/128-finals

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday


	Varzim		Trofense

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	3.7
	2.30	3.00	2.85
	2.12	3.00	3.10
	1.85	3.35	3.85
	1.86	3.4	3.9
	1.81	3.15	3.75
	1.73	3.51	4.21
	1.9	3.45	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.13)	3.27 ↑ (3.25)	3.66 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varzim
47.3%

Draw
27.9%

Trofense
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.1%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Trofense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Varzim - Trofense Predictions

Users Predictions: Varzim will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (4 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varzim won 3.

Trofense is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Varzim is a strong favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Varzim won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Varzim won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Varzim - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 42.9%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varzim SC
Portuguese Liga 3
22.08.26	Paços de Ferreira - Varzim	1:4 ✺
16.08.26	Varzim - Marco 09	2:1 ✺
09.08.26	Trofense - Varzim	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.26	Tirsense - Varzim	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
16.05.26	União de Santarém - Varzim	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWT
- CD Trofense
Portuguese Liga 3
22.08.26	Trofense - São João de Ver	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Vianense - Trofense	2:0 ✺
09.08.26	Trofense - Varzim	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Trofense - Salgueiros 08	0:1 ✺
31.07.26	AVS - Trofense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
09.08.26	Trofense - Varzim	0:1
18.04.26	Trofense - Varzim	0:1
21.02.26	Varzim - Trofense	2:0
20.12.25	Varzim - Trofense	0:1
11.10.25	Trofense - Varzim	2:1
Taça de Portugal
30.08.25	Trofense - Varzim	5:1
Portuguese Liga 3
18.01.25	Varzim - Trofense	2:1

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