Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 33

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Sao Januário (Rio de Janeiro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Portugal	Canal 11
Usa	Fanatiz


	Vasco da Gama		Juventude

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.1	6	Watch
	1.52	4.15	5.9
	1.55	4.26	6.55
	1.46	4.36	7.04	Watch
	1.61	4.2	5.85	Watch
	1.47	4.25	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.46)	4.22 ↓ (4.36)	6.47 ↓ (7.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama
62.6%

Draw
22.6%

Juventude
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

21.7%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

21.1%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Vasco da Gama - Juventude Predictions

Users Predictions: Vasco da Gama will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vasco da Gama will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leo Jardim (G) 96. Paulo Henrique 46. Cuesta C. 30. Robert Renan 6. Lucas Piton 88. Cauan Barros 25. Hugo Moura 10. Coutinho (C) 17. Moreira N. 77. Rayan 11. Gomez C. A.	13. Jandrei (G) 32. Igor Formiga 3. Luan Freitas 34. Rodrigo Sam (C) 4. Angel W. 22. Marcelo Hermes 95. Caique Goncalves 72. Peixoto 10. Nene 19. Gabriel Taliari 99. Rafael Bilu
Substitutes
13. Daniel Fuzato (G) 19. GB 66. Leandrinho 29. Lucas Oliveira 85. Mateus Carvalho 9. Matheus Franca 18. Paulinho Paula 2. Rodriguez J. 3. Tche Tche 23. Thiago Mendes 99. Vegetti P. 12. Victor Luis	23. Abner 28. Alan Ruschel 87. Edison Negueba 97. Enio 2. Ewerthon 11. Giovanny 16. Jadson 33. Lucas Fernandes 44. Mandaca 47. Marcos Paulo 93. Reginaldo 21. Ruan Carneiro (G)
Coaches
Fernando Diniz	Thiago Carpini

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
26', Caique Goncalves ↓, Jadson ↑,
26', 1 - 0, Rayan ⚽, Lucas Piton (A),
30', Angel W. ↓, Marcos Paulo ↑,
37', Rodrigo Sam 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Marcelo Hermes ⚽, Gabriel Taliari (A),
45+1', 1 - 2, Nene ⚽, Jadson (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hugo Moura ↓, Tche Tche ↑,
46', Rafael Bilu ↓, Mandaca ↑,
51', Gabriel Taliari 🟨,
53', Coutinho 🟨,
55', Cuesta C. 🟨,
58', Nene 🟨,
59', Moreira N. ↓, Matheus Franca ↑,
66', Igor Formiga 🟨,
70', Peixoto ↓, Giovanny ↑,
70', Nene ↓, Ewerthon ↑,
71', Gomez C. A. ↓, Vegetti P. ↑,
78', Cuesta C. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
78', Lucas Piton ↓, GB ↑,
79', Paulo Henrique 🟨,
88', Paulo Henrique 🟨,
89', 1 - 3, Ewerthon ⚽, Giovanny (A),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Vasco is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Vasco: Adson (Broken Leg) David (Yellow Cards) Jair (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Juventude: Gilberto (Inactive) Mandaca (Thigh Injury) Nata (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Vasco: Garre B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Juventude: Emerson Galego (Ankle Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Vasco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Vasco da Gama - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 64.84%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A
05.11.25	Botafogo RJ - Vasco da Gama	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Vasco da Gama - São Paulo	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Vasco da Gama	0:3 ✺
20.10.25	Vasco da Gama - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
15.10.25	Fortaleza - Vasco da Gama	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LLWWW
- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie A
05.11.25	Sport Recife - Juventude	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Juventude - Palmeiras	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Grêmio - Juventude	3:1 ✺
20.10.25	Juventude - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
16.10.25	Fluminense - Juventude	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
20.08.25	Juventude - Vasco da Gama	2:0
05.10.24	Vasco da Gama - Juventude	1:1
19.06.24	Juventude - Vasco da Gama	2:0

Upcoming Matches