Match Info

Date: 30 May 2021, Sunday


	Vegalta Sendai		Cerezo Osaka

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2.05
	3.3	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2.12
	3.4	3.49	2.23
	3.25	3.25	2.15	Watch
	3.28	3.44	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↓ (3.39)	3.35 ↓ (3.35)	2.14 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vegalta Sendai
28.4%

Draw
27.9%

Cerezo Osaka
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

27.9%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

18.8%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vegalta Sendai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegalta Sendai than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vegalta Sendai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cerezo Osaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vegalta Sendai - Cerezo Osaka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 11).

Sendai has the most likely position - 18 (20.05%), has project points - 36, has currently - 13, has a very small chance of qualify for acl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Cerezo Osaka has the most likely position - 10 (11.32%), has project points - 54, has currently - 22, has a very small chance of qualify for acl (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sendai is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cerezo Osaka is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sendai could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cerezo Osaka will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Sendai won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Sendai won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-19.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vegalta Sendai
Japan J1 League
26.05.21	Nagoya Grampus - Vegalta Sendai	0:1 ✺
22.05.21	Vegalta Sendai - Oita Trinita	2:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
19.05.21	Vegalta Sendai - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
15.05.21	Vegalta Sendai - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1 ✺
12.05.21	Kawasaki Frontale - Vegalta Sendai	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.7 WWWLT
- Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League
26.05.21	Kashima Antlers - Cerezo Osaka	1:0 ✺
23.05.21	Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:2 ✺
15.05.21	Vissel Kobe - Cerezo Osaka	1:1 ✺
08.05.21	Nagoya Grampus - Cerezo Osaka	1:0 ✺
02.05.21	Cerezo Osaka - Gamba Osaka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
27.09.20	Vegalta Sendai - Cerezo Osaka	2:3
23.08.20	Cerezo Osaka - Vegalta Sendai	2:1
Japan J League Cup
12.08.20	Vegalta Sendai - Cerezo Osaka	0:3
Japan J1 League
20.07.19	Cerezo Osaka - Vegalta Sendai	0:0
30.03.19	Vegalta Sendai - Cerezo Osaka	0:2
28.07.18	Vegalta Sendai - Cerezo Osaka	2:2
25.04.18	Cerezo Osaka - Vegalta Sendai	2:1

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