Match Info

Date: 4 December 2021, Saturday


	Vegalta Sendai		Kashima Antlers

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.33	1.5	Watch
	6	4.33	1.49
	6.65	4.6	1.42	Watch
	6	4.3	1.46
	6.62	4.56	1.51
	7.5	4.2	1.42	Watch
	6.6	4.5	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.55 ↑ (6.31)	4.4 ↑ (4.37)	1.47 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vegalta Sendai
14.4%

Draw
21.4%

Kashima Antlers
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

21.9%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.7%

18.3%

75.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vegalta Sendai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vegalta Sendai than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kashima Antlers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vegalta Sendai - Kashima Antlers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification)).

Sendai is Relegated to J2 League

Sendai has the most likely position - 19 (75.66%), has project points - 29, has currently - 28, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Kashima has the most likely position - 4 (82.3%), has project points - 68, has currently - 66, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Recent matches Sendai is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kashima is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Kashima is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Sendai won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 24-40.

Including matches at home between the teams Sendai won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-19.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vegalta Sendai
Japan J1 League
27.11.21	Avispa Fukuoka - Vegalta Sendai	2:2 ✺
20.11.21	Vegalta Sendai - Shonan Bellmare	0:2 ✺
07.11.21	Vegalta Sendai - Nagoya Grampus	1:1 ✺
03.11.21	Vissel Kobe - Vegalta Sendai	4:2 ✺
23.10.21	Vegalta Sendai - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TLTLW
- Kashima Antlers
Japan J1 League
27.11.21	Kashima Antlers - Sagan Tosu	1:0 ✺
20.11.21	Kashima Antlers - Oita Trinita	0:0 ✺
07.11.21	Kashima Antlers - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:0 ✺
03.11.21	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kashima Antlers	1:4 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
27.10.21	Kawasaki Frontale - Kashima Antlers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
20.06.21	Kashima Antlers - Vegalta Sendai	1:1
21.11.20	Vegalta Sendai - Kashima Antlers	1:3
09.09.20	Kashima Antlers - Vegalta Sendai	2:1
13.07.19	Vegalta Sendai - Kashima Antlers	0:4
20.04.19	Kashima Antlers - Vegalta Sendai	1:0
24.11.18	Vegalta Sendai - Kashima Antlers	0:3
20.05.18	Kashima Antlers - Vegalta Sendai	1:2

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