The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kashima Antlers 59.3%
Draw 22.1%
Sagan Tosu 18.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.4%
20.9%
13.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.4%
20.3%
13.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kashima Antlers's form might have worsened.
Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kashima Antlers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sagan Tosu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
74.2%
12.9%
12.9%
Kashima Antlers - Sagan Tosu Predictions
Users Predictions:
Kashima Antlers will win
(22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%). Confidence interval (95%): 70.75% โ 98.49%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hayakawa T. (G) 32. Nono K. 55. Ueda N. 5. Sekigawa I. 2. Anzai K. 6. Misao K. 10. Shibasaki G. 36. Morooka S. 30. Nago S. 33. Nakama H. 40. Suzuki Y.
71. Park Il-gyu (G) 42. Harada W. 2. Yamazaki K. 20. Kim Tae-Hyeon 16. Ueebisu K. 6. Fukuta A. 33. Nishiya K. 8. Nakahara H. 55. Kiyotake H. 13. Yokoyama A. 99. Marcelo Ryan
Substitutes
15. Fujii T. 77. Guilherme Parede 14. Higuchi Y. 4. Milosavljevic R. 16. Sugai H. 41. Tokuda H. 31. Yamada T. (G)
21. Horigome Y. 5. Kawahara S. 3. Kimura S. 51. Lee Yoon-sung (G) 27. Narahara Y. 77. Slivka V. 22. Togashi C.
Coaches
Popovic R.
Kawai K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Nono K. ⚽, Shibasaki G. (A),
38', Nakahara H. 🟨,
42', Fukuta A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Nishiya K. ↓, Kawahara S. ↑,
47', Morooka S. 🟨,
49', Kawahara S. 🟨,
53', 2 - 0, Nakama H. ⚽, Suzuki Y. (A),
60', Kiyotake H. ↓, Togashi C. ↑,
62', Togashi C. 🟨,
74', Fukuta A. ↓, Slivka V. ↑,
74', Kim Tae-Hyeon ↓, Kimura S. ↑,
78', Nakama H. ↓, Fujii T. ↑,
78', Shibasaki G. ↓, Higuchi Y. ↑,
79', 3 - 0, Anzai K. ⚽, Fujii T. (A),
84', Harada W. ↓, Narahara Y. ↑,
84', Nakahara H. ↓, Horigome Y. ↑,
87', Nago S. ↓, Milosavljevic R. ↑,
87', Morooka S. ↓, Guilherme Parede ↑,
90', Nono K. ↓, Sugai H. ↑,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Kashima won 1.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Kashima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Kashima have a series of home games.
In this match Kashima is a favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Kashima won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 31-21.
Including matches at home between the teams Kashima won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17-7.
China
Japan
Watch
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Hayakawa T. (G) 
Park Il-gyu (G) 
Marcelo Ryan 
Milosavljevic R. 
Slivka V. 
