Match Info

Paulista - Round 7

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Benito Agnelo Castellano (Rio Claro)

Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	HBO Max


	Velo Clube		Red Bull Bragantino

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.25	1.85	Watch
	4.5	3.4	1.8
	4.25	3.2	1.88
	4.49	3.28	1.9
	4.39	3.3	1.88	Watch
	4	3	1.85
	4.24	3.13	1.84	Watch
	4.5	3.33	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↓ (4.51)	3.24 ↓ (3.29)	1.86 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Velo Clube
21.4%

Draw
28.7%

Red Bull Bragantino
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

28.1%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

27.4%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Velo Clube has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Velo Clube than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Velo Clube - Red Bull Bragantino Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. RB Bragantino (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Red Bull Bragantino will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marcelo Carne (G) 3. Mancha 5. Marcelo Augusto 4. Betao 2. Ynaia 8. Rodrigo 7. Luiz Otavio 6. Caique 11. Adriano Jr 9. Jhoninha 10. Sillas	18. Tiago Volpi (G) 23. Sant'Anna A. 14. Pedro Henrique 3. Eduardo Santos 51. Caue Nascimento 5. Fabinho 7. Eric Ramires (C) 20. Rodriguinho 57. Marcelinho 11. Fernando Santos 17. Vinicinho
Substitutes
21. Breno Lopes 13. Islan 20. Joao Lucas 22. Leo Steffen (G) 14. Lucas Mingoti 17. Mateus Norton 12. Paulo V. (G) 19. Rair 23. Ruan 15. Thiago Timbo 18. Thomas Luciano 16. Ze Mario	1. Cleiton (G) 27. Davi Gomes 6. Gabriel 16. Gustavo Marques 22. Gustavo Neves 32. Herrera J. 34. Hurtado A. 30. Mosquera H. 54. Palacios W. 15. Sosa I. 52. Tavares R. 28. Yuri Alves
Coaches
Pintado	Vagner Mancini

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Caue Nascimento 🟨,
45+3', Marcelo Augusto 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Adriano Jr ↓, Mateus Norton ↑,
50', Caique 🟨,
65', Ynaia 🟥,
67', Marcelinho ↓, Sosa I. ↑,
67', Rodriguinho ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
68', Sillas ↓, Joao Lucas ↑,
68', Caique ↓, Ze Mario ↑,
68', Marcelo Augusto ↓, Thomas Luciano ↑,
74', Eric Ramires ↓, Mosquera H. ↑,
74', Caue Nascimento ↓, Palacios W. ↑,
75', Eduardo Santos 🟨,
77', Ze Mario 🟨,
82', Rodrigo ↓, Islan ↑,
84', Fabinho ↓, Gustavo Neves ↑,
89', 1 - 0, Luiz Otavio ⚽,
90', Luiz Otavio 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 1, Fernando Santos ⚽, Sant'Anna A. (A),
90+7', Mancha 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Velo Clube has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

RB Bragantino is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Velo Clube may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, RB Bragantino is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Velo Clube: Karl (Yellow Cards) Rodrigo Alves (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in RB Bragantino: Pitta I. (Red Card) Rodriguez G. (Knee Injury) Vanderlan (Inactive)

There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Alix Vinicius (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Velo Clube won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Velo Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
01.02.26	EC Noroeste - Velo Clube	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Velo Clube - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
22.01.26	Velo Clube - Guarani	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Portuguesa - Velo Clube	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Ponte Preta - Velo Clube	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLLW
- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A
04.02.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Mineiro	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
01.02.26	Red Bull Bragantino - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
28.01.26	Coritiba - Red Bull Bragantino	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
25.01.26	Santos - Red Bull Bragantino	0:0 ✺
21.01.26	Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
22.01.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Velo Clube	1:0

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