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Current Win Probability
Venados 24.1%
Draw 24.6%
Atlante 51.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.7%
23.1%
55.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.7%
22.1%
57.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Atlante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venados than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Venados - Atlante Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Atlante will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Delgado A. (G) 143. Benitez S. 7. Calero J. 10. Dominguez A. (C) 23. Galvan P. 4. Grijalva A. 29. Lora S. 17. Martinez J. 15. Navarrete D. 11. Tejeda D. 8. Torres D.
26. Beltran R. (G) 10. Alonzo J. 22. Calzadilla L. 6. Carrera J. N. 27. Escobar A. 8. Gonzalez R. 21. Ibarra J. 34. Jimenez E. 5. Meza H. (C) 24. Pizzuto E. 9. Puente L.
Substitutes
32. Aguilar M. 18. Amador K. 19. Ballesteros O. 20. Cruz J. 9. Derbez L. 21. Lopez C. 6. Lopez F. 1. Reyes D. (G) 24. Salcido J. 34. Saucedo S.
1. Barragan R. (G) 18. Bermudez C. 15. Charcopa J. 7. Garcia M. 13. Garcia Pardo M. 16. Gonzalez J. 19. Gonzalez S. 11. Hernandez I. 17. Mejia L. 20. Tovar J.
Coaches
Garcia I. C.
Carbajal R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
2', Galvan P. 🟨,
5', Tejeda D. 🟨,
6', Meza H. 🟨,
10', 0 - 1, Puente L. ⚽,
12', Beltran R. 🟨,
15', 1 - 1, Calero J. (Penalty Awarded),
33', 2 - 1, Lora S. ⚽, Navarrete D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Martinez J. ↓, Salcido J. ↑,
51', 3 - 1, Calero J. ⚽,
59', 4 - 1, Calero J. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Navarrete D. 🟨,
61', Ibarra J. 🟨,
62', Gonzalez R. ↓, Charcopa J. ↑,
62', Puente L. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
64', Navarrete D. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
70', Pizzuto E. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
73', Benitez S. ↓, Ballesteros O. ↑,
81', Calzadilla L. ↓, Bermudez C. ↑,
81', Ibarra J. ↓, Garcia Pardo M. ↑,
86', Lora S. ↓, Lopez C. ↑,
90+3', Ballesteros O. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venados won 1.
Recent form of Venados has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Atlante is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Venados may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Atlante is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Venados won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 13:22. (average 0.7:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Venados won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1:0.9).
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Delgado A. (G) 
Calero J. 
Carrera J. N. 
Charcopa J. 
Garcia I. C. 
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