Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Tlahuicole (Tlaxcala)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Tlaxcala		Dorados

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.31	5.15	7.7	Watch
	1.3	5.55	9.01
	1.42	4.74	6.69	Watch
	1.25	5	9
	1.32	5.44	7.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.43)	5.18 ↑ (4.56)	8.06 ↑ (6.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tlaxcala
70.5%

Draw
18%

Dorados
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

20.4%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

19.7%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tlaxcala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tlaxcala's performance.

Dorados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorados than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Tlaxcala - Dorados Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Tlaxcala will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Dorados will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Espinoza G. (G) 26. Blanco J. 19. Castaneda S. 17. Castillo E. 9. Christian 10. Figueroa F. 2. Gonzalez P. (C) 1. Govea I. 6. Iniestra A. 3. Santos E. 31. Silva J.	30. Vaal J. (G) 18. Cervantes S. 12. Egana A. 22. Gonzalez Rodriguez W. 26. Gutierrez E. (C) 3. Manriquez S. 20. Osuna D. 9. Rengifo J. 4. Ruiz L. 14. Sol M. 33. Vazquez O.
Substitutes
14. Castellanos E. 7. Hernandez E. 12. Lazaro J. 22. Macias B. 13. Mendoza H. (G) 24. Robles E. 25. Rojas H. 11. Salomon O. 5. Sancho J. 21. Zaragoza A.	7. Alvarez J. 13. Barrera G. (G) 29. Coronel O. 11. Garcia L. 16. Martinez D. 35. Porozo J. 31. Ramos A. 28. Suarez L. 2. Yanez S.
Coaches
Gustavo Leal	Ramirez F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', Egana A. ↓, Suarez L. ↑,
62', Castillo E. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
65', Vazquez O. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,
65', Manriquez S. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Blanco J. ⚽, Hernandez E. (A),
71', Sol M. ↓, Yanez S. ↑,
71', Gutierrez E. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Hernandez E. ⚽,
78', Figueroa F. ↓, Rojas H. ↑,
78', Blanco J. ↓, Zaragoza A. ↑,
86', Christian ↓, Salomon O. ↑,
86', Iniestra A. ↓, Macias B. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 1.

In recent matches, Tlaxcala has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dorados's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dorados may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tlaxcala is seen as the favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tlaxcala won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Dorados de Sinaloa	11	3	4	4	20:20	0	13
12	Tlaxcala	11	3	3	5	19:23	-4	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tlaxcala FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
22.03.26	Jaiba Brava - Tlaxcala	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	Tlaxcala - Atlante	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Atlético La Paz - Tlaxcala	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Tlaxcala - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tlaxcala	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TTLWT
- Dorados de Sinaloa
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
28.03.26	Dorados - Correcaminos UAT	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Atlante - Dorados	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Dorados - Leones Negros UdeG	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Jaiba Brava - Dorados	2:0 ✺
27.02.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Dorados	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
25.10.25	Dorados - Tlaxcala	1:1
29.03.25	Tlaxcala - Dorados	3:2
12.10.24	Dorados - Tlaxcala	1:0
24.01.24	Tlaxcala - Dorados	0:1
03.10.23	Dorados - Tlaxcala	3:1
14.02.23	Dorados - Tlaxcala	1:2
12.07.22	Tlaxcala - Dorados	0:2

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