Match Info

Serie B - Round 28

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo (Venice)

Referee: Mucera G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Serbia	Arena Sport 7
Slovakia	Sport TV2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
World	Onefootball


	Venezia		Avellino

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.75	9.5	Watch
	1.32	4.95	8.2	Watch
	1.35	5.02	9.97
	1.33	5.08	8.66	Watch
	1.33	4.5	9
	1.35	4.81	9.62	Watch
	1.41	4.7	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.4)	4.83 ↑ (4.58)	8.91 ↑ (7.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venezia
70%

Draw
19.4%

Avellino
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

20.3%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

19.1%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	11.8%	11.8%

Venezia - Avellino Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Venezia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Venezia will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stankovic F. (G) 3. Schingtienne J. 30. Svoboda M. (C) 4. Franjic B. 18. Hainaut A. 28. Dagasso M. 6. Busio G. 8. Doumbia I. 20. Sagrado R. 80. Casas A. 71. Perez K.	30. Daffara G. (G) 56. Enrici P. 44. Simic L. 63. Fontanarosa A. 2. Missori F. 16. Kumi J. 20. Palumbo M. 24. Sounas D. (C) 19. Reale F. 94. Insigne R. 7. Tutino G.
Substitutes
9. Adorante A. 37. Bohinen E. 11. Farji M. 5. Haps R. 2. Korac S. 29. Lauberbach L. 24. Lella N. 99. Pietrelli A. 22. Plizzari A. (G) 48. Sidibe A. 16. Venturi M. 10. Yeboah J.	21. Armellino M. 39. Besaggio M. 14. Biasci T. 29. Cancellotti T. 11. D'Andrea L. 1. Iannarilli A. (G) 27. Le Borgne A. 9. Patierno C. 10. Russo R. 3. Sala M. 53. Sassi J. (G) 18. Sgarbi L.
Coaches
Stroppa G.	Ballardini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
25', Franjic B. 🟨,
34', Tutino G. 🟥,
38', 1 - 0, Dagasso M. ⚽, Hainaut A. (A),
40', 2 - 0, Reale F. (Own goal),
44', 3 - 0, Busio G. ⚽, Casas A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kumi J. ↓, Patierno C. ↑,
46', Palumbo M. ↓, Le Borgne A. ↑,
46', Enrici P. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
46', Perez K. ↓, Pietrelli A. ↑,
46', Busio G. ↓, Yeboah J. ↑,
46', Hainaut A. ↓, Bohinen E. ↑,
61', Doumbia I. ↓, Lella N. ↑,
61', Sounas D. ↓, Armellino M. ↑,
63', Le Borgne A. 🟨,
67', Sagrado R. ↓, Haps R. ↑,
84', Insigne R. ↓, D'Andrea L. ↑,
86', Le Borgne A. 🟨,
90+1', 4 - 0, Dagasso M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 13).

Venezia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Avellino has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Venezia is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Venezia: Bjarkason B. (Inactive) Compagnon M. (Inactive) Duncan A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Avellino: Favilli A. (Tendon Injury) Izzo A. (Muscle Injury) Palmiero L. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Venezia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Venezia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Avellino	6	3	1	2	11:7	4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
28.02.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Venezia	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Venezia - Pescara	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	Cesena - Venezia	0:4 ✺
10.02.26	Venezia - Modena	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Frosinone - Venezia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWWLW
- US Avellino
Italian Serie B
28.02.26	Avellino - Juve Stabia	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Reggiana - Avellino	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Avellino - Pescara	0:1 ✺
11.02.26	Avellino - Frosinone	1:3 ✺
08.02.26	Monza - Avellino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
08.12.25	Avellino - Venezia	1:1
17.02.18	Venezia - Avellino	3:1
18.09.17	Avellino - Venezia	1:1
Coppa Italia
17.08.14	Avellino - Venezia	2:0

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