Match Info

Serie B - Round 24

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi (Avellino)

Referee: Arena A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Avellino		Frosinone

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	2.15	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.18	Watch
	3.63	3.3	2.25
	3.29	3.35	2.17	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.1
	3.5	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.5	3.14	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.78)	3.24 ↓ (3.28)	2.17 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avellino
27.7%

Draw
29%

Frosinone
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

28.2%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

28.1%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avellino's form might have worsened.

Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avellino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	23.5%	70.6%

Avellino - Frosinone Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Avellino will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Frosinone will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Frosinone: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Frosinone (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Avellino (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH 0 - Frosinone (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Avellino (votes: 1 - 20%). Frosinone (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Daffara G. (G) 56. Enrici P. 44. Simic L. 63. Fontanarosa A. 18. Sgarbi L. 20. Palumbo M. 6. Palmiero L. (C) 39. Besaggio M. 29. Cancellotti T. 7. Tutino G. 14. Biasci T.	22. Palmisani L. (G) 21. Oyono J. 2. Cittadini G. 3. Calvani G. 79. Bracaglia G. (C) 14. Calo G. 8. Koutsoupias I. 16. Cichella M. 7. Ghedjemis F. 28. Zilli M. 17. Kvernadze G.
Substitutes
21. Armellino M. 11. D'Andrea L. 1. Iannarilli A. (G) 94. Insigne R. 27. Le Borgne A. 78. Milani A. 8. Pandolfi L. 45. Pane P. (G) 9. Patierno C. 10. Russo R. 53. Sassi J. (G) 24. Sounas D.	19. Corrado N. 40. Fini S. 80. Fiori A. 6. Gelli J. 18. Grosso F. 12. Lolic E. (G) 5. Marchizza R. 32. Masciangelo E. 24. Ndow A. 75. Pisseri M. (G) 9. Raimondo A. 90. Vergani E.
Coaches
Biancolino R.	Alvini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Kvernadze G. ⚽, Oyono J. (A),
26', 0 - 2, Calo G. ⚽,
33', Palmiero L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Koutsoupias I. 🟨,
58', Palmiero L. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
61', 0 - 3, Cichella M. ⚽, Zilli M. (A),
66', Koutsoupias I. ↓, Grosso F. ↑,
67', Ghedjemis F. ↓, Fini S. ↑,
68', Tutino G. ↓, Pandolfi L. ↑,
68', Besaggio M. ↓, Sounas D. ↑,
69', Palumbo M. 🟨,
74', Fontanarosa A. ↓, Milani A. ↑,
74', Palumbo M. ↓, Le Borgne A. ↑,
75', Calo G. ↓, Gelli J. ↑,
75', Zilli M. ↓, Vergani E. ↑,
77', 1 - 3, Enrici P. ⚽, Le Borgne A. (A),
85', Kvernadze G. ↓, Marchizza R. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Avellino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Frosinone could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Avellino: Favilli A. (Tendon Injury) Izzo A. (Inactive) Kumi J. (Injury) Missori F. (Yellow Cards) Sounas D. (Inactive)

There will not play in Frosinone: Barcella K. (Inactive) Gelli F. (Inactive) Oyono A. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Avellino won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Avellino	6	3	1	2	11:7	4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Avellino
Italian Serie B
08.02.26	Monza - Avellino	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Avellino - Cesena	3:1 ✺
24.01.26	Spezia - Avellino	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Avellino - Carrarese	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Avellino - Sampdoria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLLW
- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie B
07.02.26	Frosinone - Venezia	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Virtus Entella - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Frosinone - Reggiana	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Monza - Frosinone	2:2 ✺
10.01.26	Frosinone - Catanzaro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
24.08.25	Frosinone - Avellino	2:0
17.04.18	Avellino - Frosinone	0:2
Club Friendly
13.01.18	Frosinone - Avellino	2:0
Italian Serie B
17.11.17	Frosinone - Avellino	1:1
03.04.17	Frosinone - Avellino	1:1
06.11.16	Avellino - Frosinone	0:1
14.02.15	Avellino - Frosinone	3:0

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