Match Info

Date: 23 October 2022, Sunday

Location: JIT Recycle Ink Stadium (Kofu)

Referee: Kakinuma T. (Jpn)


	Ventforet Kofu		Grulla Morioka

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.33	5.75	Watch
	1.49	3.9	5.25
	1.5	4.1	6.2
	1.49	4.2	5.6
	1.54	4.5	6.03
	1.47	3.8	6
	1.51	4.4	5.85	Watch
	1.5	4.2	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.46)	4.18 ↑ (4.09)	5.79 ↓ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ventforet Kofu
61.7%

Draw
22.2%

Grulla Morioka
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

22.5%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

21.8%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ventforet Kofu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Grulla Morioka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grulla Morioka than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Ventforet Kofu - Grulla Morioka Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kofu will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Grulla Morioka will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kofu: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Grulla Morioka is Relegated to

Recent matches Kofu is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Grulla Morioka has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Grulla Morioka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Kofu have a series of home games.

In this match Kofu is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kofu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ventforet Kofu
Japan J2 League
19.10.22	Machida Zelvia - Ventforet Kofu	1:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
16.10.22	Ventforet Kofu - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:1 penalties ✺
Japan J2 League
09.10.22	Ventforet Kofu - Fagiano Okayama	1:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
05.10.22	Ventforet Kofu - Kashima Antlers	1:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
01.10.22	Ventforet Kofu - Tochigi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 WWLWL
- Grulla Morioka
Japan J2 League
16.10.22	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Grulla Morioka	5:1 ✺
08.10.22	Grulla Morioka - Tokyo Verdy	0:2 ✺
02.10.22	Renofa Yamaguchi - Grulla Morioka	2:2 ✺
25.09.22	Grulla Morioka - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:3 ✺
20.09.22	Roasso Kumamoto - Grulla Morioka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
05.06.22	Grulla Morioka - Ventforet Kofu	1:0

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