Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 29

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday

Location: JIT Recycle Ink Stadium (Kofu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Ventforet Kofu		Kagoshima United

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	3.8	Watch
	1.8	3.5	3.6
	1.87	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.95	3.8	3.85
	1.96	3.65	3.56	Watch
	1.8	3.6	3.6
	1.87	3.66	3.69	Watch
	1.87	3.6	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.99)	3.63 ↑ (3.61)	3.7 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ventforet Kofu
49.4%

Draw
25.6%

Kagoshima United
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

26%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.2%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ventforet Kofu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Kagoshima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Ventforet Kofu - Kagoshima United Predictions

Users Predictions: Ventforet Kofu will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Shibuya T. (G) 21. Renato 16. Hayashida K. 3. Son T. 24. Iida T. 26. Sato K. 34. Kimura T. 7. Araki S. 18. Misawa N. 10. Torikai Y. 9. Mitsuhira K.	1. Izumori R. (G) 17. Hoshi K. 4. Hirose K. 28. Tone I. 3. Toyama R. 16. Kawano R. 35. Nakahara S. 27. Yamaguchi T. 24. Nagai S. 10. Fujimoto N. 38. Arita R.
Substitutes
35. Ichinose T. 32. Koh Bong-jo (G) 19. Miyazaki J. 13. Murakami Y. 14. Nakayama R. 23. Sekiguchi M. 99. Utaka P.	9. Arita K. 8. Fujimura K. 5. Ibayashi A. 13. Matsuyama K. (G) 14. Nodake H. 32. Numata T. 34. Suzuki S.
Coaches
Otsuka S.	Asano T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Nagai S. ↓, Numata T. ↑,
23', 1 - 0, Toyama R. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Hirose K. 🟨,
63', Fujimoto N. ↓, Suzuki S. ↑,
63', Nakahara S. ↓, Fujimura K. ↑,
71', Mitsuhira K. ↓, Utaka P. ↑,
79', Hoshi K. ↓, Nodake H. ↑,
79', Numata T. ↓, Arita K. ↑,
79', Torikai Y. ↓, Miyazaki J. ↑,
84', Iida T. ↓, Sekiguchi M. ↑,
84', Kimura T. ↓, Nakayama R. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).

Recent matches Kofu is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kagoshima United has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Kagoshima United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kofu is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Kofu won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Kofu won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ventforet Kofu
Japan J2 League
25.08.24	Tochigi - Ventforet Kofu	1:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
21.08.24	Ventforet Kofu - Kashima Antlers	1:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
17.08.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Ventforet Kofu	3:0 ✺
10.08.24	Ventforet Kofu - Fujieda MYFC	3:0 ✺
03.08.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Ventforet Kofu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWW
- Kagoshima United
Japan J2 League
24.08.24	Kagoshima United - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Vegalta Sendai - Kagoshima United	1:0 ✺
11.08.24	Blaublitz Akita - Kagoshima United	2:0 ✺
03.08.24	Kagoshima United - Fujieda MYFC	2:3 ✺
13.07.24	Kagoshima United - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
03.04.24	Kagoshima United - Ventforet Kofu	0:1
27.10.19	Ventforet Kofu - Kagoshima United	1:1
09.03.19	Kagoshima United - Ventforet Kofu	0:1

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