Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 29

Date: 25 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn)

Referee: Wildfeuer F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Verl		Elversberg

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.75	1.7
	4	3.8	1.78
	3.9	3.9	1.72
	3.55	3.55	1.85
	4.2	4.16	1.79
	3.9	3.5	1.75
	4.1	3.82	1.76	Watch
	3.75	3.75	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (3.57)	3.78 ↑ (3.55)	1.76 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Verl
23.6%

Draw
24.3%

Elversberg
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

25.7%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verl than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

Verl - Elversberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Verl will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Elversberg will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elversberg: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Verl could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Elversberg is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Verl won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Verl
German 3 Bundesliga
18.03.23	Duisburg - Verl	3:3 ✺
14.03.23	Meppen - Verl	1:3 ✺
10.03.23	Verl - Hallescher	2:2 ✺
04.03.23	Zwickau - Verl	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Verl - Oldenburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWTLW
- SV Elversberg
German 3 Bundesliga
19.03.23	Elversberg - Hallescher	1:1 ✺
14.03.23	1860 München - Elversberg	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Elversberg - Meppen	2:2 ✺
06.03.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Elversberg	2:1 ✺
26.02.23	Elversberg - Dynamo Dresden	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
01.10.22	Elversberg - Verl	1:2

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