Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 22

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi (Verona)

Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Ring
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	beIN Sports Max
Hungary	Sport 2
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV5
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Verona		Frosinone

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.25	2.9	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.87
	2.42	3.35	2.92	Watch
	2.56	3.35	3
	2.53	3.29	3.04
	2.38	3.4	2.8
	2.54	3.47	3	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.23)	3.33 ↓ (3.44)	2.94 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Verona
38.6%

Draw
28.7%

Frosinone
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

27.6%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

26%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verona than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.3%	15.8%	28.9%

Verona - Frosinone Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Verona will win (votes: 21 - 55.3%). Frosinone will win (votes: 11 - 28.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Verona: 39.5% – 71.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montipo L. (G) 38. Tchatchoua J. 27. Dawidowicz P. 23. Magnani G. 32. Cabal J. D. 33. Duda O. 25. Serdar S. 90. Folorunsho M. 31. Suslov T. 8. Lazovic D. (C) 17. Noslin T.	80. Turati S. (G) 14. Gelli F. 5. Okoli C. 6. Romagnoli S. (C) 4. Brescianini M. 45. Barrenechea E. 24. Bourabia M. 21. Harroui A. 18. Soule M. 9. Kaio Jorge 8. Seck D.
Substitutes
2. Amione B. 6. Belahyane R. 99. Bonazzoli F. 37. Charlys 16. Chiesa M. (G) 42. Coppola D. 13. Cruz J. M. 9. Henry T. 77. Mboula J. 34. Perilli S. (G) 20. Saponara R. 21. Silva D. 7. Tavsan E. 19. Vinagre R.	31. Cerofolini M. (G) 70. Cheddira W. 1. Frattali P. (G) 16. Garritano L. 29. Ghedjemis F. 17. Kvernadze G. 36. Mazzitelli L. 30. Monterisi I. 12. Reinier
Coaches
Baroni M.	Di Francesco E.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 13).

Recent matches Verona is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Frosinone is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Frosinone could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Verona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Verona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hellas Verona
Italian Serie A
20.01.24	Roma - Verona	2:1 ✺
13.01.24	Verona - Empoli	2:1 ✺
06.01.24	Inter Milan - Verona	2:1 ✺
30.12.23	Verona - Salernitana	0:1 ✺
23.12.23	Verona - Cagliari	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLLW
- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie A
21.01.24	Frosinone - Cagliari	3:1 ✺
15.01.24	Atalanta - Frosinone	5:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
11.01.24	Juventus - Frosinone	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
06.01.24	Frosinone - Monza	2:3 ✺
29.12.23	Lazio - Frosinone	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
08.10.23	Frosinone - Verona	2:1
Italian Serie B
25.02.17	Frosinone - Verona	1:0
25.09.16	Verona - Frosinone	2:0
Italian Serie A
17.04.16	Verona - Frosinone	1:2
29.11.15	Frosinone - Verona	3:2

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