Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 18

Date: 29 December 2023, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome) 🌤️ Weather

Referee: Feliciani E. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	16:45	ESPN
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 2
Czech Republic	20:45	Nova Sport 4
France	20:45	beIN Sports Max
Italy	20:45	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV3
Romania	21:45	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport
United Kingdom	19:45	TNT Sports
International	19:45	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Lazio		Frosinone

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	5.5	Watch
	1.62	3.8	5.75
	1.62	3.95	5.4	Watch
	1.64	3.99	5.9
	1.65	3.99	5.75
	1.57	3.9	5.5
	1.64	3.95	5.5	Watch
	1.64	4	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.62)	3.92 ↓ (4.04)	5.61 ↑ (5.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lazio
58.7%

Draw
24.3%

Frosinone
17%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.5%

23.5%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

23%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Frosinone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.4%	3.8%	3.8%

Lazio - Frosinone Predictions

Users Predictions: Lazio will win (97 of 105 users predict this - 92.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.31% – 97.45%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Provedel I. (G) 77. Marusic A. (C) 4. Patric 34. Gila M. 3. Pellegrini Lu. 8. Guendouzi M. 65. Rovella N. 6. Kamada D. 7. Felipe Anderson 19. Castellanos T. 20. Zaccagni M.	80. Turati S. (G) 30. Monterisi I. 5. Okoli C. 6. Romagnoli S. (C) 14. Gelli F. 45. Barrenechea E. 4. Brescianini M. 16. Garritano L. 18. Soule M. 9. Kaio Jorge 21. Harroui A.
Substitutes
26. Basic T. 15. Casale N. 32. Cataldi D. 70. Fernandes S. 23. Hysaj E. 18. Isaksen G. 35. Mandas C. (G) 9. Pedro 46. Ruggeri F. 33. Sepe L. (G) 5. Vecino M.	24. Bourabia M. 10. Caso G. 31. Cerofolini M. (G) 70. Cheddira W. 11. Cuni M. 1. Frattali P. (G) 17. Kvernadze G. 8. Lulic K. 47. Mateus Lusuardi 36. Mazzitelli L. 12. Reinier
Coaches
Sarri M.	Di Francesco E.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 14).

Recent matches Lazio is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Frosinone is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Frosinone could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lazio is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lazio won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Lazio won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
22.12.23	Empoli - Lazio	0:2 ✺
17.12.23	Lazio - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.12.23	Atlético Madrid - Lazio	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
09.12.23	Verona - Lazio	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
05.12.23	Lazio - Genoa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLTW
- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie A
23.12.23	Frosinone - Juventus	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
19.12.23	Napoli - Frosinone	0:4 ✺
Italian Serie A
16.12.23	Lecce - Frosinone	2:1 ✺
10.12.23	Frosinone - Torino	0:0 ✺
02.12.23	Milan - Frosinone	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
12.09.20	Frosinone - Lazio	0:1
Italian Serie A
04.02.19	Frosinone - Lazio	0:1
02.09.18	Lazio - Frosinone	1:0
21.02.16	Frosinone - Lazio	0:0
04.10.15	Lazio - Frosinone	2:0

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