Match Info

Serie A - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi (Verona)

Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	215 DAZN Zona, DAZN 2, DAZN Italia, Primavera TV, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	Shasha
Malaysia	Astro Arena 2, Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Verona		Cagliari

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	4.75	Watch
	1.98	3.2	4.25	Watch
	2.29	3.2	3.76
	2.07	3.26	4.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.38)	3.22 ↑ (3.22)	4.3 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Verona
47.2%

Draw
30.2%

Cagliari
22.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.8%

29.5%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

30.2%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Verona's performance.

Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cagliari might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verona than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Verona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cagliari could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.5%	38.7%	25.8%

Verona - Cagliari Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Verona will win (votes: 11 - 35.5%). Cagliari will win (votes: 8 - 25.8%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 38.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.6% – 55.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Verona (votes: 2 - 20%). Cagliari (votes: 4 - 40%). Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Cagliari (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Verona (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Verona (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Verona (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Cagliari (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montipo L. (G) 5. Nunez U. 15. Nelsson V. 6. Valentini N. 7. Belghali R. 8. Serdar S. (C) 63. Gagliardini R. 11. Akpa Akpro J. 12. Bradaric D. 17. Giovane 16. Orban G.	1. Caprile E. (G) 28. Zappa G. (C) 32. Pedro J. 3. Idrissi R. 2. Palestra M. 27. Liteta J. 16. Prati M. 90. Folorunsho M. 33. Obert A. 29. Borrelli G. 10. Gaetano G.
Substitutes
72. Ajayi J. 37. Bella-Kotchap A. 24. Bernede A. 70. Cham F. 23. Ebosse E. 3. Frese M. 21. Harroui A. 25. Mosquera D. 36. Niasse C. 34. Perilli S. (G) 4. Santiago Y. 9. Sarr A. 19. Slotsager T. 94. Toniolo G. (G)	8. Adopo M. 21. Cavuoti N. 24. Ciocci G. (G) 94. Esposito Se. 17. Felici M. 9. Kilicsoy S. 6. Luperto S. 77. Luvumbo Z. 4. Mazzitelli L. 30. Pavoletti L. 15. Rodriguez J. 20. Rog M. 34. Sarno V. (G)
Coaches
Zanetti P.	Pisacane F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Nunez U. ↓, Bella-Kotchap A. ↑,
23', 1 - 0, Gagliardini R. ⚽, Giovane (A),
41', Akpa Akpro J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Akpa Akpro J. ↓, Bernede A. ↑,
46', Liteta J. ↓, Adopo M. ↑,
53', Gagliardini R. 🟨,
57', Nelsson V. 🟨,
59', 2 - 0, Orban G. ⚽, Giovane (A),
62', Folorunsho M. ↓, Pavoletti L. ↑,
63', Gaetano G. ↓, Luvumbo Z. ↑,
65', Obert A. 🟨,
66', Pavoletti L. 🟨,
70', Belghali R. ↓, Cham F. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Idrissi R. ⚽, Obert A. (A),
78', Giovane ↓, Sarr A. ↑,
78', Palestra M. ↓, Felici M. ↑,
78', Orban G. ↓, Harroui A. ↑,
86', Prati M. ↓, Mazzitelli L. ↑,
89', Mazzitelli L. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 2, Felici M. ⚽, Pavoletti L. (A),
90+4', Borrelli G. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Verona won 2.

Verona is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Cagliari has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cagliari may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Verona is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Verona: Al Musrati (Thigh Injury) Suslov T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Cagliari: Belotti A. (Knee Injury) Deiola A. (Injury) Di Pardo A. (Calf Injury) Mina Y. (Thigh Injury) Pintus N. (Inactive) Radunovic B. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Verona: Bella-Kotchap A. (Thigh Injury) Oyegoke D. (Foot Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Verona won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Verona won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.1:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hellas Verona
Italian Serie A
18.10.25	Pisa - Verona	0:0 ✺
03.10.25	Verona - Sassuolo	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Roma - Verona	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
24.09.25	Verona - Venezia	0:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
20.09.25	Verona - Juventus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLLLT
- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
19.10.25	Cagliari - Bologna	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Udinese - Cagliari	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Cagliari - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
23.09.25	Cagliari - Frosinone	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
19.09.25	Lecce - Cagliari	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
28.04.25	Verona - Cagliari	0:2
29.11.24	Cagliari - Verona	1:0
01.04.24	Cagliari - Verona	1:1
23.12.23	Verona - Cagliari	2:0
30.04.22	Cagliari - Verona	1:2
30.11.21	Verona - Cagliari	0:0
03.04.21	Cagliari - Verona	0:2

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